Scoreo

Talleres Remedios vs Deportivo LaferrerePrimera B Metropolitana 2026

F. Enrique 39' (pen)
3/15/2026Primera B MetropolitanaPrimera B Metropolitana · Round 6Estadio de Talleres de Remedios de Escalada

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 54+ matches

Talleres Remedios42%
×Draw30%
Deportivo Laferrere28%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Talleres Remedios
1.19
Deportivo Laferrere
0.92

Talleres Remedios creates 29% more chances

Season form · 100 home / 54 away

creates per match

Talleres Remedios
1.08
Deportivo Laferrere
0.91

allows per match

Talleres Remedios
0.92
Deportivo Laferrere
1.30

finishing

Talleres Remedios+0.00on par
Deportivo Laferrere+0.00on par

Total goals

65%Under
  • Under65
  • Over35

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

58%No
  • No58
  • Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Talleres Remedios

Deportivo Laferrere
0
1
2
3
4
0
0012%
0111%
025%
032%
040%
1
1014%
1113%
126%
132%
140%
2
209%
218%
224%
231%
240%
3
303%
313%
321%
330%
340%
4
401%
411%
420%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
62%38%2.5
35%65%3.5
16%84%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Talleres Remedios or draw
72%
Talleres Remedios or Deportivo Laferrere
70%
Draw or Deportivo Laferrere
58%

Winning margin

Talleres Remedios wins by 2+
18%
Deportivo Laferrere wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Talleres Remedios 1+ goals
70%
Talleres Remedios 2+ goals
33%
Talleres Remedios 3+ goals
12%
Deportivo Laferrere 1+ goals
60%
Deportivo Laferrere 2+ goals
23%
Deportivo Laferrere 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Talleres Remedios (draw refunded)
60%
Deportivo Laferrere (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
29%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Talleres Remedios at homecreates 1.08, concedes 0.92 · 100 matches

Deportivo Laferrere awaycreates 0.91, concedes 1.30 · 54 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Talleres Remedios attack 1.08 + Deportivo Laferrere defence 1.30 → ÷2 → 1.19

Deportivo Laferrere attack 0.91 + Talleres Remedios defence 0.92 → ÷2 → 0.92

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Talleres Remedios scores more
42%
level
30%
Deportivo Laferrere scores more
28%

Talleres Remedios at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Talleres Remedios will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Talleres
Deportivo
64'F. VersaciJ. P. Arango Rolfi
75'S. GallardoL. Barrios
86'S. MaldonadoF. Enrique
86'C. MunozI. Colombini
86'E. OliveraM. Samaniego

Talleres Remedios substitutes

P. Nieva
Manager: P. Nieva
42'M. DigangiL. Nebot
59'A. OrtizA. Benitez
59'L. RebecchiE. Rodriguez
72'R. DigionI. Cavoret
72'D. BramajoF. Romero

Deportivo Laferrere substitutes

Talleres Remedios 2 – 0 Deportivo Laferrere

Talleres Remedios beat Deportivo Laferrere 2-0 in Primera B Metropolitana on March 15, 2026.

Goals: F. Enrique (39' pen), I. Colombini (84').

The match was played at Estadio de Talleres de Remedios de Escalada in Buenos Aires.