Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Deportivo Laferrere vs Talleres Remedios — Primera C 2026

Deportivo Laferrere
Deportivo Laferrere
FT
2 – 1
Talleres Remedios
Talleres Remedios
4/2/2014Primera CPrimera C · Round 30Estadio Deportivo Laferrere

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Deportivo Laferrere38%
×Draw30%
Talleres Remedios32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Deportivo Laferrere
1.08
Talleres Remedios
0.97

Deportivo Laferrere creates 11% more chances

Season form · 102 home / 14 away

creates per match

Deportivo Laferrere
1.24
Talleres Remedios
1.14

allows per match

Deportivo Laferrere
0.80
Talleres Remedios
0.93

finishing

Deportivo Laferrere+0.00on par
Talleres Remedios+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Under
  • Under66
  • Over34

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

59%No
  • No59
  • Yes41

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Deportivo Laferrere ↓

Talleres Remedios →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–013%
0–112%
0–26%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–014%
1–113%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–17%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
87%13%1.5
61%39%2.5
34%66%3.5
15%85%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Deportivo Laferrere or draw
68%
Deportivo Laferrere or Talleres Remedios
70%
Draw or Talleres Remedios
62%

Winning margin

Deportivo Laferrere wins by 2+
15%
Talleres Remedios wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Deportivo Laferrere 1+ goals
66%
Deportivo Laferrere 2+ goals
29%
Deportivo Laferrere 3+ goals
10%
Talleres Remedios 1+ goals
62%
Talleres Remedios 2+ goals
25%
Talleres Remedios 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Deportivo Laferrere (draw refunded)
54%
Talleres Remedios (draw refunded)
46%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
28%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Deportivo Laferrere at home — creates 1.24, concedes 0.80 · 102 matches

Talleres Remedios away — creates 1.14, concedes 0.93 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Deportivo Laferrere attack 1.24 + Talleres Remedios defence 0.93 → ÷2 → 1.08

Talleres Remedios attack 1.14 + Deportivo Laferrere defence 0.80 → ÷2 → 0.97

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Deportivo Laferrere scores more
38%
level
30%
Talleres Remedios scores more
32%

Deportivo Laferrere at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Deportivo Laferrere will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Primera C: Deportivo Laferrere 2–1 Talleres Remedios

Deportivo Laferrere beat Talleres Remedios 2-1 in Primera C on April 2, 2014.

The match was played at Estadio Deportivo Laferrere in Gregorio de Laferrere, Provincia de Buenos Aires.