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Táborsko vs Plzen — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Táborsko
Táborsko
CANC
08:30
Plzen
Plzen
7/17/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5Stadion Kvapilova

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Táborsko28%
×Draw21%
Plzen51%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Táborsko
1.53
Plzen
2.12

Plzen creates 39% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 8 away

creates per match

Táborsko
2.43
Plzen
2.38

allows per match

Táborsko
1.86
Plzen
0.63

finishing

Táborsko+0.00on par
Plzen+0.00on par

Total goals

70%Over
  • Over70
  • Under30

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

69%Yes
  • Yes69
  • No31

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Táborsko ↓

Plzen →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–16%
0–26%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–04%
1–18%
1–29%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–16%
2–27%
2–35%
2–43%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (9%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
88%12%2.5
70%30%3.5
49%51%4.5
30%70%

Double chance

Táborsko or draw
49%
Táborsko or Plzen
79%
Draw or Plzen
72%

Winning margin

Táborsko wins by 2+
13%
Plzen wins by 2+
30%

Team goals

Táborsko 1+ goals
78%
Táborsko 2+ goals
45%
Táborsko 3+ goals
20%
Plzen 1+ goals
88%
Plzen 2+ goals
62%
Plzen 3+ goals
35%

Draw no bet

Táborsko (draw refunded)
35%
Plzen (draw refunded)
65%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
60%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Táborsko at home — creates 2.43, concedes 1.86 · 7 matches

Plzen away — creates 2.38, concedes 0.63 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Táborsko attack 2.43 + Plzen defence 0.63 → ÷2 → 1.53

Plzen attack 2.38 + Táborsko defence 1.86 → ÷2 → 2.12

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Táborsko scores more
28%
level
21%
Plzen scores more
51%

Plzen at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Plzen will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Táborsko vs Plzen — Match Preview

Táborsko face Plzen on July 17, 2021 in this Friendlies Clubs fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Táborsko host Plzen at Stadion Kvapilova.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.