Scoreo

Plzen vs TáborskoFriendlies Clubs 2026

Plzen
Plzen
FT
82
HT: 60
Táborsko
Táborsko
E. Jirka 70'
T. Chory 49'
M. Havel 39', 35'
R. Durosinmi 26'
J. Kopic 24', 3'
J. Sykora 21'
V. Zeman 75'
J. Sasinka 73'
6/28/2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Sportovni areal v Chrastecke ulice

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 20+ matches

Plzen72%
×Draw15%
Táborsko13%
Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.6%
Always home
44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Plzen
2.90
Táborsko
1.16

Plzen creates 150% more chances

Season form · 20 home / 26 away

creates per match

Plzen
3.15
Táborsko
1.27

allows per match

Plzen
1.05
Táborsko
2.65

finishing

Plzen+0.00on par
Táborsko+0.00on par

Total goals

76%Over
  • Over76
  • Under24

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

65%Yes
  • Yes65
  • No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Plzen

Táborsko
0
1
2
3
4
0
002%
012%
021%
030%
040%
1
105%
116%
123%
131%
140%
2
207%
219%
225%
232%
241%
3
307%
318%
325%
332%
341%
4
405%
416%
424%
431%
440%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 85% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
76%24%3.5
57%43%4.5
36%64%

Double chance

Plzen or draw
87%
Plzen or Táborsko
85%
Draw or Táborsko
28%

Winning margin

Plzen wins by 2+
52%
Táborsko wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Plzen 1+ goals
94%
Plzen 2+ goals
78%
Plzen 3+ goals
54%
Táborsko 1+ goals
69%
Táborsko 2+ goals
32%
Táborsko 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Plzen (draw refunded)
85%
Táborsko (draw refunded)
15%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
59%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Plzen at homecreates 3.15, concedes 1.05 · 20 matches

Táborsko awaycreates 1.27, concedes 2.65 · 26 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Plzen attack 3.15 + Táborsko defence 2.65 → ÷2 → 2.90

Táborsko attack 1.27 + Plzen defence 1.05 → ÷2 → 1.16

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 72%?"

Plzen scores more
72%
level
15%
Táborsko scores more
13%

Plzen at 72% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 72% does not mean "Plzen will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Plzen 8–2 Táborsko

Plzen beat Táborsko 8-2 in Friendlies Clubs on June 28, 2023.

Goals: J. Kopic (3', 24'), J. Sykora (21'), R. Durosinmi (26'), M. Havel (35', 39'), T. Chory (49'), E. Jirka (70'), J. Sasinka (73'), V. Zeman (75').

The match was played at Sportovni areal v Chrastecke ulice in Plzeň.