Scoreo

Swedru All Blacks vs Eleven WondersPremier League 2019

5/6/2026Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 30Swedru Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Swedru All Blacks60%
×Draw26%
Eleven Wonders14%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Swedru All Blacks
1.52
Eleven Wonders
0.59

Swedru All Blacks creates 158% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 58 away

creates per match

Swedru All Blacks
1.24
Eleven Wonders
0.60

allows per match

Swedru All Blacks
0.59
Eleven Wonders
1.79

finishing

Swedru All Blacks+0.00on par
Eleven Wonders+0.00on par

Total goals

65%Under
  • Under65
  • Over35

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

65%No
  • No65
  • Yes35

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Swedru All Blacks

Eleven Wonders
0
1
2
3
4
0
0012%
017%
022%
030%
040%
1
1018%
1111%
123%
131%
140%
2
2014%
218%
222%
230%
240%
3
307%
314%
321%
330%
340%
4
403%
412%
420%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–0 (18%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
62%38%2.5
35%65%3.5
16%84%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Swedru All Blacks or draw
86%
Swedru All Blacks or Eleven Wonders
74%
Draw or Eleven Wonders
40%

Winning margin

Swedru All Blacks wins by 2+
32%
Eleven Wonders wins by 2+
3%

Team goals

Swedru All Blacks 1+ goals
78%
Swedru All Blacks 2+ goals
45%
Swedru All Blacks 3+ goals
20%
Eleven Wonders 1+ goals
45%
Eleven Wonders 2+ goals
12%
Eleven Wonders 3+ goals
2%

Draw no bet

Swedru All Blacks (draw refunded)
81%
Eleven Wonders (draw refunded)
19%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
24%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Swedru All Blacks at homecreates 1.24, concedes 0.59 · 17 matches

Eleven Wonders awaycreates 0.60, concedes 1.79 · 58 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Swedru All Blacks attack 1.24 + Eleven Wonders defence 1.79 → ÷2 → 1.52

Eleven Wonders attack 0.60 + Swedru All Blacks defence 0.59 → ÷2 → 0.59

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Swedru All Blacks scores more
60%
level
26%
Eleven Wonders scores more
14%

Swedru All Blacks at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Swedru All Blacks will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Swedru All Blacks vs Eleven Wonders

Swedru All Blacks beat Eleven Wonders 5-2 in Premier League on May 6, 2026.

The match was played at Swedru Stadium in Agona Swedru.