SVV Scheveningen 5–0 De Treffers: Result & Stats

SVV Scheveningen

FT

5 – 0

HT: 2 – 0

De Treffers

I. van Baalen 89', 70'

J. Beke 52'

V. Tjin-Asjoe 34'

D. Gouda 7'

9/16/2023

Tweede Divisie · Round 5Sportpark Houtrust

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 81+ matches

SVV Scheveningen30%

×Draw24%

De Treffers46%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

SVV ScheveningenExpected goals in this matchDe Treffers

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.28

1.64

SVV Scheveningen

1.28

De Treffers

1.64

De Treffers creates 28% more chances

Season form · 81 home / 98 away

1.06

creates per match

1.59

1.68

allows per match

1.50

creates per match

SVV Scheveningen

1.06

De Treffers

1.59

allows per match

SVV Scheveningen

1.68

De Treffers

1.50

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

SVV Scheveningen+0.00on par

De Treffers+0.00on par

Total goals

Over56
Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes58
No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

SVV Scheveningen ↓

De Treffers →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–19%

0–27%

0–34%

0–42%

1

1–07%

1–111%

1–29%

1–35%

1–42%

2

2–04%

2–17%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–23%

3–31%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

79%21%2.5

56%44%3.5

33%67%4.5

17%83%

Double chance

SVV Scheveningen or draw

54%

SVV Scheveningen or De Treffers

76%

Draw or De Treffers

70%

Winning margin

SVV Scheveningen wins by 2+

13%

De Treffers wins by 2+

24%

Team goals

SVV Scheveningen 1+ goals

72%

SVV Scheveningen 2+ goals

37%

SVV Scheveningen 3+ goals

14%

De Treffers 1+ goals

81%

De Treffers 2+ goals

49%

De Treffers 3+ goals

23%

Draw no bet

SVV Scheveningen (draw refunded)

40%

De Treffers (draw refunded)

60%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

47%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

SVV Scheveningen at home — creates 1.06, concedes 1.68 · 81 matches

De Treffers away — creates 1.59, concedes 1.50 · 98 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

SVV Scheveningen attack 1.06 + De Treffers defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.28

De Treffers attack 1.59 + SVV Scheveningen defence 1.68 → ÷2 → 1.64

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

SVV Scheveningen scores more

30%

level

24%

De Treffers scores more

46%

De Treffers at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "De Treffers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

7'

D. Gouda↳ J. Beke

34'

V. Tjin-Asjoe↳ J. Beke

42'

45'

45+3'

46'

46'

T. Waterink← Y. Hamdi

49'

B. Sirvania

52'

J. Beke

58'

G. van den Berg← B. Sirvania

64'

B. Rog← V. Tjin-Asjoe

67'

67'

67'

67'

70'

I. van Baalen↳ R. van Koesveld

72'

G. Elvilia← J. Beke

72'

A. Nistor← J. Strooker

76'

R. Browne← D. Gouda

76'

T. Hunte← J. Thomassen

77'

J. van Hedel← T. Langeveld

89'

I. van Baalen↳ R. Browne

SVV

De

1

Kornelis

4

Joppen

8

Dkidak

5

▼

Sirvania

21

▼

Langeveld

10

Dekker

20

Hees

9

▼

Thomassen

11

▼

Vlijter

27

Bouyaghla

30

▼

Hamdi

1

Maaten

8

▼

Strooker

5

Koorndijk

4

A

2

14

6

29

⚽2

Baalen

11

⚽

▼

Tjin-Asjo

27

⚽

▼

Gouda

22

⚽A

▼

Beke

Manager: J. Blok

64'▲B. Rog←▼V. Tjin-Asjoe

72'▲G. Elvilia←▼J. Beke

72'▲A. Nistor←▼J. Strooker

76'▲R. Browne←▼D. Gouda

SVV Scheveningen substitutes

23Rog21Elvilia18Nistor12Browne30Buijs10Aldoğan

Manager: L. Echteld

46'▲Y. Loen←▼G. Vlijter

46'▲T. Waterink←▼Y. Hamdi

58'▲G. van den Berg←▼B. Sirvania

76'▲T. Hunte←▼J. Thomassen

77'▲J. van Hedel←▼T. Langeveld

De Treffers substitutes

25Loen19Waterink3Berg14Hunte12Hedel28Schalks7Maertzdorf

Match Recap: SVV Scheveningen vs De Treffers

SVV Scheveningen beat De Treffers 5-0 in Tweede Divisie on September 16, 2023.

Goals: D. Gouda (7'), V. Tjin-Asjoe (34'), J. Beke (52'), I. van Baalen (70', 89').

The match was played at Sportpark Houtrust in Den Haag.

SVV Scheveningen vs De Treffers — Tweede Divisie 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: SVV Scheveningen vs De Treffers