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Stuttgarter Kickers vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Stuttgarter Kickers
Stuttgarter Kickers
FT
3 – 1
HT: 2 – 0
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
2/4/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Rasenplatz ADM-Sportpark

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Stuttgarter Kickers31%
×Draw17%
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach51%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Stuttgarter Kickers
2.55
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
3.23

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach creates 27% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 5 away

creates per match

Stuttgarter Kickers
3.50
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
5.20

allows per match

Stuttgarter Kickers
1.25
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
1.60

finishing

Stuttgarter Kickers+0.00on par
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach+0.00on par

Total goals

92%Over
  • Over92
  • Under8

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

88%Yes
  • Yes88
  • No12

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Stuttgarter Kickers ↓

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–00%
0–11%
0–22%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–01%
1–13%
1–24%
1–35%
1–44%
2
2–01%
2–13%
2–26%
2–36%
2–45%
3
3–01%
3–13%
3–25%
3–35%
3–44%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–23%
4–33%
4–43%

Most likely 2–2 (6%) · grid covers 73% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
100%0%1.5
98%2%2.5
92%8%3.5
82%18%4.5
66%34%

Double chance

Stuttgarter Kickers or draw
49%
Stuttgarter Kickers or SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
83%
Draw or SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
69%

Winning margin

Stuttgarter Kickers wins by 2+
17%
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach wins by 2+
34%

Team goals

Stuttgarter Kickers 1+ goals
92%
Stuttgarter Kickers 2+ goals
72%
Stuttgarter Kickers 3+ goals
46%
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1+ goals
96%
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 2+ goals
82%
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 3+ goals
61%

Draw no bet

Stuttgarter Kickers (draw refunded)
38%
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach (draw refunded)
62%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
86%
Both score & under 3
3%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Stuttgarter Kickers at home — creates 3.50, concedes 1.25 · 8 matches

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach away — creates 5.20, concedes 1.60 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Stuttgarter Kickers attack 3.50 + SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 2.55

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach attack 5.20 + Stuttgarter Kickers defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 3.23

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Stuttgarter Kickers scores more
31%
level
17%
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach scores more
51%

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Stuttgarter Kickers vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

Stuttgarter Kickers beat SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 3-1 in Friendlies Clubs on February 4, 2024.

The match was played at Rasenplatz ADM-Sportpark in Stuttgart.