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Stripfing vs Team Wiener Linien — Regionalliga - Ost 2018

Stripfing
Stripfing
CANC
13:00
Team Wiener Linien
Team Wiener Linien
2/13/2021Regionalliga - OstRegionalliga - Ost · Ost - 1Sportplatz Stripfing SV

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 28+ matches

Stripfing59%
×Draw21%
Team Wiener Linien20%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Stripfing
1.99
Team Wiener Linien
1.05

Stripfing creates 90% more chances

Season form · 41 home / 28 away

creates per match

Stripfing
2.37
Team Wiener Linien
1.43

allows per match

Stripfing
0.68
Team Wiener Linien
1.61

finishing

Stripfing+0.00on par
Team Wiener Linien+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Stripfing ↓

Team Wiener Linien →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–110%
1–25%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–17%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
58%42%3.5
36%64%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Stripfing or draw
80%
Stripfing or Team Wiener Linien
79%
Draw or Team Wiener Linien
41%

Winning margin

Stripfing wins by 2+
35%
Team Wiener Linien wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Stripfing 1+ goals
86%
Stripfing 2+ goals
59%
Stripfing 3+ goals
32%
Team Wiener Linien 1+ goals
65%
Team Wiener Linien 2+ goals
28%
Team Wiener Linien 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Stripfing (draw refunded)
75%
Team Wiener Linien (draw refunded)
25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Stripfing at home — creates 2.37, concedes 0.68 · 41 matches

Team Wiener Linien away — creates 1.43, concedes 1.61 · 28 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Stripfing attack 2.37 + Team Wiener Linien defence 1.61 → ÷2 → 1.99

Team Wiener Linien attack 1.43 + Stripfing defence 0.68 → ÷2 → 1.05

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 59%?"

Stripfing scores more
59%
level
21%
Team Wiener Linien scores more
20%

Stripfing at 59% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 59% does not mean "Stripfing will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Stripfing vs Team Wiener Linien — Match Preview

Stripfing face Team Wiener Linien on February 13, 2021 in this Regionalliga - Ost fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Stripfing host Team Wiener Linien at Sportplatz Stripfing SV.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.