Stjørdals-Blink 2–0 Strindheim: Result & Stats

Stjørdals-Blink

FT

2 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Strindheim

S. Jacobsen Prestmo 52'

R. Hermanstad 34'

8/31/2024

2. Division - Group 2 · Group 2 - 19MUS Stadion Sandskogan

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 26+ matches

Stjørdals-Blink61%

×Draw19%

Strindheim20%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Stjørdals-BlinkExpected goals in this matchStrindheim

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.44

1.36

Stjørdals-Blink

2.44

Strindheim

1.36

Stjørdals-Blink creates 79% more chances

Season form · 45 home / 26 away

2.07

creates per match

1.35

1.38

allows per match

2.81

creates per match

Stjørdals-Blink

2.07

Strindheim

1.35

allows per match

Stjørdals-Blink

1.38

Strindheim

2.81

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Stjørdals-Blink+0.00on par

Strindheim+0.00on par

Total goals

Over73
Under27

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes68
No32

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Stjørdals-Blink ↓

Strindheim →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–02%

0–13%

0–22%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–06%

1–18%

1–25%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–17%

3–25%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–03%

4–15%

4–23%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

89%11%2.5

73%27%3.5

52%48%4.5

32%68%

Double chance

Stjørdals-Blink or draw

80%

Stjørdals-Blink or Strindheim

81%

Draw or Strindheim

39%

Winning margin

Stjørdals-Blink wins by 2+

39%

Strindheim wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Stjørdals-Blink 1+ goals

91%

Stjørdals-Blink 2+ goals

70%

Stjørdals-Blink 3+ goals

43%

Strindheim 1+ goals

74%

Strindheim 2+ goals

39%

Strindheim 3+ goals

16%

Draw no bet

Stjørdals-Blink (draw refunded)

75%

Strindheim (draw refunded)

25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

60%

Both score & under 3

8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Stjørdals-Blink at home — creates 2.07, concedes 1.38 · 45 matches

Strindheim away — creates 1.35, concedes 2.81 · 26 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Stjørdals-Blink attack 2.07 + Strindheim defence 2.81 → ÷2 → 2.44

Strindheim attack 1.35 + Stjørdals-Blink defence 1.38 → ÷2 → 1.36

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 61%?"

Stjørdals-Blink scores more

61%

level

19%

Strindheim scores more

20%

Stjørdals-Blink at 61% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 61% does not mean "Stjørdals-Blink will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

21'

34'

52'

56'

60'

67'

72'

J. Strand← S. Jacobsen Prestmo

81'

A. Angellsen← T. Nyheim

81'

E. Kizilirmak← J. Solem

84'

A. Bartel← O. Stølan

84'

O. Lillebo← M. Lillebo

90+4'

H. Standal← J. Selnaes

90+4'

M. Horgøien← R. Hermanstad

Stjørdals-Blink

Strindheim

1

Bugge

22

Halgunset

16

▼

2

3

8

9

▼

Nytoft

19

▼

6

11

18

1

4

16

22

7

6

▼

Stølan

15

▼

Selnaes

18

Havig

9

▼

Lillebo

11

⚽

▼

Hermansta

8

⚽

▼

Prestmo

Manager: M. Jacobsen

72'▲J. Strand←▼S. Jacobsen Prestmo

84'▲A. Bartel←▼O. Stølan

84'▲O. Lillebo←▼M. Lillebo

90+4'▲H. Standal←▼J. Selnaes

90+4'▲M. Horgøien←▼R. Hermanstad

Stjørdals-Blink substitutes

26Strand27Bartel28Lillebo5Standal19Horgøien13Fossli23Einarson17Flaathe-Simonsen

Manager: P. Rinnan

67'▲M. Lervik←▼A. Nytoft

81'▲A. Angellsen←▼T. Nyheim

81'▲E. Kizilirmak←▼J. Solem

Strindheim substitutes

30Lervik20Angellsen39Kizilirmak12Misje17Saugestad24Amundsen27Dønnem

2. Division - Group 2: Stjørdals-Blink 2–0 Strindheim

Stjørdals-Blink beat Strindheim 2-0 in 2. Division - Group 2 on August 31, 2024.

Goals: R. Hermanstad (34'), S. Jacobsen Prestmo (52').

The match was played at MUS Stadion Sandskogan in Stjørdal.

Stjørdals-Blink vs Strindheim — 2. Division - Group 2 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

2. Division - Group 2: Stjørdals-Blink 2–0 Strindheim