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Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Yverdon Sport — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
FT
0 – 3
Yverdon Sport
Yverdon Sport
7/10/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Stade Olympique de la Pontaise

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy29%
×Draw23%
Yverdon Sport47%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.32
Yverdon Sport
1.75

Yverdon Sport creates 33% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 5 away

creates per match

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
2.43
Yverdon Sport
2.20

allows per match

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.29
Yverdon Sport
0.20

finishing

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy+0.00on par
Yverdon Sport+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Over
  • Over59
  • Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy ↓

Yverdon Sport →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–18%
0–27%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–06%
1–111%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–26%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
59%41%3.5
37%63%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy or draw
53%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy or Yverdon Sport
77%
Draw or Yverdon Sport
71%

Winning margin

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy wins by 2+
12%
Yverdon Sport wins by 2+
26%

Team goals

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1+ goals
73%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 2+ goals
38%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 3+ goals
15%
Yverdon Sport 1+ goals
83%
Yverdon Sport 2+ goals
52%
Yverdon Sport 3+ goals
25%

Draw no bet

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy (draw refunded)
38%
Yverdon Sport (draw refunded)
62%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy at home — creates 2.43, concedes 1.29 · 7 matches

Yverdon Sport away — creates 2.20, concedes 0.20 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy attack 2.43 + Yverdon Sport defence 0.20 → ÷2 → 1.32

Yverdon Sport attack 2.20 + Stade Lausanne-Ouchy defence 1.29 → ÷2 → 1.75

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy scores more
29%
level
23%
Yverdon Sport scores more
47%

Yverdon Sport at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Yverdon Sport will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Yverdon Sport

Yverdon Sport beat Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 3-0 in Friendlies Clubs on July 10, 2021.

The match was played at Stade Olympique de la Pontaise in Lausanne.