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St. Anna vs Deutschlandsberger SC — Regionalliga - Mitte 2018

St. Anna
St. Anna
FT
0 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
Deutschlandsberger SC
Deutschlandsberger SC
5/9/2026Regionalliga - MitteRegionalliga - Mitte · Mitte - 26Stahlbau Muller Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 90+ matches

St. Anna40%
×Draw22%
Deutschlandsberger SC38%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

St. Anna
1.76
Deutschlandsberger SC
1.71

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 90 home / 107 away

creates per match

St. Anna
1.79
Deutschlandsberger SC
1.60

allows per match

St. Anna
1.82
Deutschlandsberger SC
1.73

finishing

St. Anna+0.00on par
Deutschlandsberger SC+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Over
  • Over67
  • Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

68%Yes
  • Yes68
  • No32

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

St. Anna ↓

Deutschlandsberger SC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–25%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–19%
1–28%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
67%33%3.5
45%55%4.5
27%73%

Double chance

St. Anna or draw
62%
St. Anna or Deutschlandsberger SC
78%
Draw or Deutschlandsberger SC
60%

Winning margin

St. Anna wins by 2+
21%
Deutschlandsberger SC wins by 2+
19%

Team goals

St. Anna 1+ goals
83%
St. Anna 2+ goals
52%
St. Anna 3+ goals
26%
Deutschlandsberger SC 1+ goals
82%
Deutschlandsberger SC 2+ goals
51%
Deutschlandsberger SC 3+ goals
24%

Draw no bet

St. Anna (draw refunded)
51%
Deutschlandsberger SC (draw refunded)
49%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
58%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

St. Anna at home — creates 1.79, concedes 1.82 · 90 matches

Deutschlandsberger SC away — creates 1.60, concedes 1.73 · 107 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

St. Anna attack 1.79 + Deutschlandsberger SC defence 1.73 → ÷2 → 1.76

Deutschlandsberger SC attack 1.60 + St. Anna defence 1.82 → ÷2 → 1.71

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

St. Anna scores more
40%
level
22%
Deutschlandsberger SC scores more
38%

St. Anna at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "St. Anna will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: St. Anna vs Deutschlandsberger SC

Deutschlandsberger SC beat St. Anna 1-0 in Regionalliga - Mitte on May 9, 2026.

The match was played at Stahlbau Muller Arena in Aigen.