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Deutschlandsberger SC vs St. Anna — Regionalliga - Mitte 2018

Deutschlandsberger SC
Deutschlandsberger SC
FT
2 – 2
HT: 2 – 2
St. Anna
St. Anna
4/11/2025Regionalliga - MitteRegionalliga - Mitte · Mitte - 22Koralmstadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 91+ matches

Deutschlandsberger SC54%
×Draw21%
St. Anna24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Deutschlandsberger SC
2.04
St. Anna
1.31

Deutschlandsberger SC creates 56% more chances

Season form · 105 home / 91 away

creates per match

Deutschlandsberger SC
2.17
St. Anna
1.26

allows per match

Deutschlandsberger SC
1.37
St. Anna
1.90

finishing

Deutschlandsberger SC+0.00on par
St. Anna+0.00on par

Total goals

65%Over
  • Over65
  • Under35

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

63%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Deutschlandsberger SC ↓

St. Anna →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–07%
1–19%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–110%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
85%15%2.5
65%35%3.5
43%57%4.5
24%76%

Double chance

Deutschlandsberger SC or draw
76%
Deutschlandsberger SC or St. Anna
79%
Draw or St. Anna
46%

Winning margin

Deutschlandsberger SC wins by 2+
32%
St. Anna wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Deutschlandsberger SC 1+ goals
87%
Deutschlandsberger SC 2+ goals
60%
Deutschlandsberger SC 3+ goals
33%
St. Anna 1+ goals
73%
St. Anna 2+ goals
38%
St. Anna 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Deutschlandsberger SC (draw refunded)
69%
St. Anna (draw refunded)
31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
54%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Deutschlandsberger SC at home — creates 2.17, concedes 1.37 · 105 matches

St. Anna away — creates 1.26, concedes 1.90 · 91 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Deutschlandsberger SC attack 2.17 + St. Anna defence 1.90 → ÷2 → 2.04

St. Anna attack 1.26 + Deutschlandsberger SC defence 1.37 → ÷2 → 1.31

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Deutschlandsberger SC scores more
54%
level
21%
St. Anna scores more
24%

Deutschlandsberger SC at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Deutschlandsberger SC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Deutschlandsberger SC vs St. Anna

Deutschlandsberger SC and St. Anna drew 2-2 in Regionalliga - Mitte on April 11, 2025.

The match was played at Koralmstadion in Deutschlandsberg.