SS Reyes II 0–0 Trival Valderas: Result & Stats

SS Reyes II

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Trival Valderas

4/5/2026

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 · Group 7 - 29Estadio Municipal Nuevo Matapiñonera

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

SS Reyes II46%

×Draw28%

Trival Valderas26%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

SS Reyes IIExpected goals in this matchTrival Valderas

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.29

0.90

SS Reyes II

1.29

Trival Valderas

0.90

SS Reyes II creates 43% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 115 away

1.29

creates per match

0.97

0.82

allows per match

1.30

creates per match

SS Reyes II

1.29

Trival Valderas

0.97

allows per match

SS Reyes II

0.82

Trival Valderas

1.30

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

SS Reyes II+0.00on par

Trival Valderas+0.00on par

Total goals

Under63
Over37

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No57
Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

SS Reyes II ↓

Trival Valderas →

0–011%

0–110%

0–25%

0–31%

0–40%

1–014%

1–113%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2–09%

2–18%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3–04%

3–14%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

89%11%1.5

64%36%2.5

37%63%3.5

18%82%4.5

7%93%

Double chance

SS Reyes II or draw

74%

SS Reyes II or Trival Valderas

72%

Draw or Trival Valderas

54%

Winning margin

SS Reyes II wins by 2+

21%

Trival Valderas wins by 2+

Team goals

SS Reyes II 1+ goals

72%

SS Reyes II 2+ goals

37%

SS Reyes II 3+ goals

14%

Trival Valderas 1+ goals

59%

Trival Valderas 2+ goals

23%

Trival Valderas 3+ goals

Draw no bet

SS Reyes II (draw refunded)

64%

Trival Valderas (draw refunded)

36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

30%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

SS Reyes II at home — creates 1.29, concedes 0.82 · 17 matches

Trival Valderas away — creates 0.97, concedes 1.30 · 115 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

SS Reyes II attack 1.29 + Trival Valderas defence 1.30 → ÷2 → 1.29

Trival Valderas attack 0.97 + SS Reyes II defence 0.82 → ÷2 → 0.90

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 46%?"

SS Reyes II scores more

46%

level

28%

Trival Valderas scores more

26%

SS Reyes II at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "SS Reyes II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7: SS Reyes II 0–0 Trival Valderas

SS Reyes II and Trival Valderas drew 0-0 in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 on April 5, 2026.

The match was played at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Matapiñonera in San Sebastián de los Reyes.

SS Reyes II vs Trival Valderas — Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7: SS Reyes II 0–0 Trival Valderas