Sportivo Luqueno 0–1 Godoy Cruz: Result & Stats

Sportivo Luqueno

FT

0 – 1

HT: 0 – 0

Godoy Cruz

A. Auzmendi 72'

5/6/2025

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Group Stage - 4Estadio Tigo La Huerta

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Sportivo Luqueno25%

×Draw28%

Godoy Cruz47%

✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.5%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 581,483 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Sportivo LuquenoExpected goals in this matchGodoy Cruz

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

0.88

1.34

Sportivo Luqueno

0.88

Godoy Cruz

1.34

Godoy Cruz creates 52% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 4 away

1.00

creates per match

1.25

1.44

allows per match

0.75

creates per match

Sportivo Luqueno

1.00

Godoy Cruz

1.25

allows per match

Sportivo Luqueno

1.44

Godoy Cruz

0.75

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Sportivo Luqueno+0.00on par

Godoy Cruz+0.00on par

Total goals

Under62
Over38

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No57
Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sportivo Luqueno ↓

Godoy Cruz →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–011%

0–115%

0–210%

0–34%

0–41%

1

1–010%

1–113%

1–29%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–04%

2–16%

2–24%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–01%

3–12%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–00%

4–10%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

89%11%1.5

65%35%2.5

38%62%3.5

18%82%4.5

7%93%

Double chance

Sportivo Luqueno or draw

53%

Sportivo Luqueno or Godoy Cruz

72%

Draw or Godoy Cruz

75%

Winning margin

Sportivo Luqueno wins by 2+

8%

Godoy Cruz wins by 2+

22%

Team goals

Sportivo Luqueno 1+ goals

59%

Sportivo Luqueno 2+ goals

22%

Sportivo Luqueno 3+ goals

6%

Godoy Cruz 1+ goals

74%

Godoy Cruz 2+ goals

39%

Godoy Cruz 3+ goals

15%

Draw no bet

Sportivo Luqueno (draw refunded)

34%

Godoy Cruz (draw refunded)

66%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

30%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sportivo Luqueno at home — creates 1.00, concedes 1.44 · 9 matches

Godoy Cruz away — creates 1.25, concedes 0.75 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sportivo Luqueno attack 1.00 + Godoy Cruz defence 0.75 → ÷2 → 0.88

Godoy Cruz attack 1.25 + Sportivo Luqueno defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 1.34

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Sportivo Luqueno scores more

25%

level

28%

Godoy Cruz scores more

47%

Godoy Cruz at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Godoy Cruz will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

4

L. Arce

Godoy Cruz · D

7.9

Match Events

16'

Walter Rodríguez

46'

G. Hauche← W. Ayala

46'

W. Gonzalez← R. D. Rios

47'

Ángel Benítez

61'

Elvio Vera

65'

A. Auzmendi← D. Barrea

72'

A. Auzmendi↳ V. Poggi

74'

L. Comas← F. Santander

80'

F. Benitez← A. Benitez

81'

Lautaro Comas

82'

Leandro Fabián Quiroz

82'

B. Leyes← G. Abrego

82'

T. A. Pozzo← F. Altamira

84'

M. Perez← E. Vera

89'

Fernando Benítez

90+3'

Vicente Poggi

90'

K. Parzajuk← S. Andino

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

SportivoGodoy

Overview

51%Possession49%

8Total Shots18

9Corners4

12Fouls14

Shots

8Total Shots18

0On Target5

6Off Target7

2Blocked6

2Inside Box14

6Outside Box4

Passing

51%Possession49%

363Total Passes358

270Accurate Passes269

74%Pass Accuracy75%

Goalkeeping

4Saves0

Discipline

12Fouls14

5Yellow Cards2

5Offsides1

CONMEBOL Sudamericana: Sportivo Luqueno 0–1 Godoy Cruz

Godoy Cruz beat Sportivo Luqueno 1-0 in CONMEBOL Sudamericana on May 6, 2025.

Goals: A. Auzmendi (72').

Sportivo Luqueno controlled possession (51%) and registered 8 shots to 18.

The match was played at Estadio Tigo La Huerta in Asuncion.

Sportivo Luqueno vs Godoy Cruz — CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

CONMEBOL Sudamericana: Sportivo Luqueno 0–1 Godoy Cruz