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Spartak Myjava W vs Žilina W — I Liga - Women 2020

Spartak Myjava W
Spartak Myjava W
FT
6 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Žilina W
Žilina W
10/4/2025I Liga - WomenI Liga - Women · Round 8Futbalový štadión Spartak Myjava

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 68+ matches

Spartak Myjava W92%
×Draw5%
Žilina W3%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Spartak Myjava W
4.82
Žilina W
0.89

Spartak Myjava W creates 442% more chances

Season form · 69 home / 68 away

creates per match

Spartak Myjava W
6.13
Žilina W
1.19

allows per match

Spartak Myjava W
0.58
Žilina W
3.51

finishing

Spartak Myjava W+0.00on par
Žilina W+0.00on par

Total goals

90%Over
  • Over90
  • Under10

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Spartak Myjava W ↓

Žilina W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–00%
0–10%
0–20%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–02%
1–12%
1–21%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–05%
2–14%
2–22%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–17%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–09%
4–18%
4–24%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 4–0 (9%) · grid covers 60% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
100%0%1.5
97%3%2.5
90%10%3.5
77%23%4.5
59%41%

Double chance

Spartak Myjava W or draw
97%
Spartak Myjava W or Žilina W
95%
Draw or Žilina W
8%

Winning margin

Spartak Myjava W wins by 2+
81%
Žilina W wins by 2+
1%

Team goals

Spartak Myjava W 1+ goals
99%
Spartak Myjava W 2+ goals
94%
Spartak Myjava W 3+ goals
82%
Žilina W 1+ goals
59%
Žilina W 2+ goals
22%
Žilina W 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Spartak Myjava W (draw refunded)
97%
Žilina W (draw refunded)
3%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
57%
Both score & under 3
2%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Spartak Myjava W at home — creates 6.13, concedes 0.58 · 69 matches

Žilina W away — creates 1.19, concedes 3.51 · 68 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Spartak Myjava W attack 6.13 + Žilina W defence 3.51 → ÷2 → 4.82

Žilina W attack 1.19 + Spartak Myjava W defence 0.58 → ÷2 → 0.89

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 92%?"

Spartak Myjava W scores more
92%
level
5%
Žilina W scores more
3%

Spartak Myjava W at 92% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 92% does not mean "Spartak Myjava W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

I Liga - Women: Spartak Myjava W 6–0 Žilina W

Spartak Myjava W beat Žilina W 6-0 in I Liga - Women on October 4, 2025.

The match was played at Futbalový štadión Spartak Myjava in Myjava.