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Southside Eagles vs Ipswich — Queensland Premier League 2026

Southside Eagles
Southside Eagles
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Ipswich
Ipswich
7/5/2025Queensland Premier LeagueQueensland Premier League · Round 16Memorial Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 31+ matches

Southside Eagles39%
×Draw24%
Ipswich37%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Southside Eagles
1.56
Ipswich
1.53

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 53 home / 31 away

creates per match

Southside Eagles
1.58
Ipswich
1.19

allows per match

Southside Eagles
1.87
Ipswich
1.55

finishing

Southside Eagles+0.00on par
Ipswich+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Southside Eagles ↓

Ipswich →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–17%
0–25%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–28%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–06%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
60%40%3.5
37%63%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

Southside Eagles or draw
63%
Southside Eagles or Ipswich
76%
Draw or Ipswich
61%

Winning margin

Southside Eagles wins by 2+
19%
Ipswich wins by 2+
18%

Team goals

Southside Eagles 1+ goals
79%
Southside Eagles 2+ goals
46%
Southside Eagles 3+ goals
21%
Ipswich 1+ goals
78%
Ipswich 2+ goals
45%
Ipswich 3+ goals
20%

Draw no bet

Southside Eagles (draw refunded)
51%
Ipswich (draw refunded)
49%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Southside Eagles at home — creates 1.58, concedes 1.87 · 53 matches

Ipswich away — creates 1.19, concedes 1.55 · 31 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Southside Eagles attack 1.58 + Ipswich defence 1.55 → ÷2 → 1.56

Ipswich attack 1.19 + Southside Eagles defence 1.87 → ÷2 → 1.53

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Southside Eagles scores more
39%
level
24%
Ipswich scores more
37%

Southside Eagles at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Southside Eagles will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Queensland Premier League: Southside Eagles 0–0 Ipswich

Southside Eagles and Ipswich drew 0-0 in Queensland Premier League on July 5, 2025.

The match was played at Memorial Park in Brisbane.