Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Songwe Border United vs Silver Strikers — Super League 2026

Songwe Border United
Songwe Border United
FT
1 – 4
HT: 0 – 2
Silver Strikers
Silver Strikers
5/15/2025Super LeagueSuper League · Round 5Karonga Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Songwe Border United13%
×Draw23%
Silver Strikers64%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Songwe Border United
0.61
Silver Strikers
1.69

Silver Strikers creates 177% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 84 away

creates per match

Songwe Border United
0.53
Silver Strikers
1.17

allows per match

Songwe Border United
2.20
Silver Strikers
0.70

finishing

Songwe Border United+0.00on par
Silver Strikers+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Under
  • Under60
  • Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

63%No
  • No63
  • Yes37

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Songwe Border United ↓

Silver Strikers →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–117%
0–214%
0–38%
0–43%
1
1–06%
1–110%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–02%
2–13%
2–23%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–00%
3–11%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (17%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
67%33%2.5
40%60%3.5
20%80%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Songwe Border United or draw
36%
Songwe Border United or Silver Strikers
77%
Draw or Silver Strikers
87%

Winning margin

Songwe Border United wins by 2+
3%
Silver Strikers wins by 2+
36%

Team goals

Songwe Border United 1+ goals
46%
Songwe Border United 2+ goals
13%
Songwe Border United 3+ goals
2%
Silver Strikers 1+ goals
82%
Silver Strikers 2+ goals
50%
Silver Strikers 3+ goals
24%

Draw no bet

Songwe Border United (draw refunded)
17%
Silver Strikers (draw refunded)
83%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
27%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Songwe Border United at home — creates 0.53, concedes 2.20 · 15 matches

Silver Strikers away — creates 1.17, concedes 0.70 · 84 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Songwe Border United attack 0.53 + Silver Strikers defence 0.70 → ÷2 → 0.61

Silver Strikers attack 1.17 + Songwe Border United defence 2.20 → ÷2 → 1.69

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 64%?"

Songwe Border United scores more
13%
level
23%
Silver Strikers scores more
64%

Silver Strikers at 64% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 64% does not mean "Silver Strikers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Songwe Border United vs Silver Strikers

Silver Strikers beat Songwe Border United 4-1 in Super League on May 15, 2025.

The match was played at Karonga Stadium in Karonga.