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Silver Strikers vs Songwe Border United — Super League 2026

Silver Strikers
Silver Strikers
FT
6 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Songwe Border United
Songwe Border United
12/7/2025Super LeagueSuper League · Round 24Silver Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Silver Strikers83%
×Draw13%
Songwe Border United4%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Silver Strikers
2.46
Songwe Border United
0.38

Silver Strikers creates 547% more chances

Season form · 82 home / 15 away

creates per match

Silver Strikers
2.00
Songwe Border United
0.13

allows per match

Silver Strikers
0.62
Songwe Border United
2.93

finishing

Silver Strikers+0.00on par
Songwe Border United+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Over
  • Over53
  • Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

71%No
  • No71
  • Yes29

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Silver Strikers ↓

Songwe Border United →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–12%
0–20%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–16%
1–21%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–018%
2–17%
2–21%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–015%
3–16%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–09%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (18%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
77%23%2.5
53%47%3.5
31%69%4.5
15%85%

Double chance

Silver Strikers or draw
96%
Silver Strikers or Songwe Border United
87%
Draw or Songwe Border United
17%

Winning margin

Silver Strikers wins by 2+
60%
Songwe Border United wins by 2+
1%

Team goals

Silver Strikers 1+ goals
91%
Silver Strikers 2+ goals
70%
Silver Strikers 3+ goals
44%
Songwe Border United 1+ goals
32%
Songwe Border United 2+ goals
6%
Songwe Border United 3+ goals
1%

Draw no bet

Silver Strikers (draw refunded)
95%
Songwe Border United (draw refunded)
5%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
23%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Silver Strikers at home — creates 2.00, concedes 0.62 · 82 matches

Songwe Border United away — creates 0.13, concedes 2.93 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Silver Strikers attack 2.00 + Songwe Border United defence 2.93 → ÷2 → 2.46

Songwe Border United attack 0.13 + Silver Strikers defence 0.62 → ÷2 → 0.38

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 83%?"

Silver Strikers scores more
83%
level
13%
Songwe Border United scores more
4%

Silver Strikers at 83% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 83% does not mean "Silver Strikers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Super League: Silver Strikers 6–0 Songwe Border United

Silver Strikers beat Songwe Border United 6-0 in Super League on December 7, 2025.

The match was played at Silver Stadium in Lilongwe.