Sóller 0–7 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas: Result & Stats

Sóller

0 – 7

HT: 0 – 1

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas

Mario Riquelme 86'

Álex Sánchez 80', 74'

Jorge Bengoetxea 62'

F. Núñez 48', 47'

Cristian Cruz 1'

3/9/2024

Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 · Group 11 - 24Parque Municipal Sóller

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 44+ matches

Sóller18%

×Draw23%

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas59%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

SóllerExpected goals in this matchIbiza Islas Pitiusas

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

0.89

1.82

Sóller

0.89

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas

1.82

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas creates 104% more chances

Season form · 80 home / 44 away

1.18

creates per match

2.00

1.65

allows per match

0.59

creates per match

Sóller

1.18

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas

2.00

allows per match

Sóller

1.65

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas

0.59

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Sóller+0.00on par

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas+0.00on par

Total goals

Over51
Under49

Close call

Both teams score

No51
Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sóller ↓

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas →

0–07%

0–112%

0–211%

0–37%

0–43%

1–06%

1–111%

1–210%

1–36%

1–43%

2–03%

2–15%

2–24%

2–33%

2–41%

3–01%

3–11%

3–21%

3–31%

3–40%

4–00%

4–10%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (12%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

75%25%2.5

51%49%3.5

29%71%4.5

14%86%

Double chance

Sóller or draw

41%

Sóller or Ibiza Islas Pitiusas

77%

Draw or Ibiza Islas Pitiusas

82%

Winning margin

Sóller wins by 2+

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas wins by 2+

34%

Team goals

Sóller 1+ goals

59%

Sóller 2+ goals

22%

Sóller 3+ goals

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1+ goals

84%

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 2+ goals

54%

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 3+ goals

27%

Draw no bet

Sóller (draw refunded)

23%

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas (draw refunded)

77%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

39%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Sóller at home — creates 1.18, concedes 1.65 · 80 matches

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas away — creates 2.00, concedes 0.59 · 44 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Sóller attack 1.18 + Ibiza Islas Pitiusas defence 0.59 → ÷2 → 0.89

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas attack 2.00 + Sóller defence 1.65 → ÷2 → 1.82

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 59%?"

Sóller scores more

18%

level

23%

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas scores more

59%

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas at 59% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 59% does not mean "Ibiza Islas Pitiusas will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

Cristian Cruz

14'

Cristian Magaña← Sebastia Martínez

46'

Jorge Santos← Álex Ribas

46'

M. Aleksandrov← Sergi Martínez

47'

F. Núñez

48'

F. Núñez

59'

Álex Sánchez← Marquitos

59'

Mario Riquelme← Cristian Cruz

60'

J. Martinez

62'

Jorge Bengoetxea

65'

Santi← Raul Aguilar

68'

David Sánchez← Pablo Cortijo

69'

Aleix Payeras← Sergio Morro

72'

Felipao← F. Núñez

72'

Roberto Fernández← Dani Sales

74'

Álex Sánchez

80'

Álex Sánchez

86'

Mario Riquelme

Sóller

Ibiza

Torrelavi

⚽

▼

⚽

▼

▼

⚽2

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: Antonio Sánchez

14'▲Cristian Magaña←▼Sebastia Martínez

46'▲Jorge Santos←▼Álex Ribas

46'▲M. Aleksandrov←▼Sergi Martínez

65'▲Santi←▼Raul Aguilar

69'▲Aleix Payeras←▼Sergio Morro

Sóller substitutes

MagañaSantosAleksandrovSantiPayeras

Manager: Raúl Casañ

59'▲Álex Sánchez←▼Marquitos

59'▲Mario Riquelme←▼Cristian Cruz

68'▲David Sánchez←▼Pablo Cortijo

72'▲Felipao←▼F. Núñez

72'▲Roberto Fernández←▼Dani Sales

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas substitutes

SánchezRiquelmeSánchezFelipaoFernández

Match Recap: Sóller vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas beat Sóller 7-0 in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 on March 9, 2024.

Goals: Cristian Cruz (1'), F. Núñez (47', 48'), Jorge Bengoetxea (62'), Álex Sánchez (74', 80'), Mario Riquelme (86').

The match was played at Parque Municipal Sóller in Sóller.

Sóller vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas — Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Sóller vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas