Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Sokol Živanice vs Viktoria Žižkov — 3. liga - CFL B 2020

Sokol Živanice
Sokol Živanice
FT
0 – 3
HT: 0 – 1
Viktoria Žižkov
Viktoria Žižkov
5/27/20233. liga - CFL B3. liga - CFL B · ČFL B - 28Stadion SK Náchod v Bělovsi

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Sokol Živanice28%
×Draw25%
Viktoria Žižkov47%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Sokol Živanice
1.19
Viktoria Žižkov
1.61

Viktoria Žižkov creates 35% more chances

Season form · 64 home / 15 away

creates per match

Sokol Živanice
1.66
Viktoria Žižkov
1.93

allows per match

Sokol Živanice
1.30
Viktoria Žižkov
0.73

finishing

Sokol Živanice+0.00on par
Viktoria Žižkov+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Over
  • Over53
  • Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sokol Živanice ↓

Viktoria Žižkov →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–110%
0–28%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–07%
1–112%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
77%23%2.5
53%47%3.5
31%69%4.5
15%85%

Double chance

Sokol Živanice or draw
53%
Sokol Živanice or Viktoria Žižkov
75%
Draw or Viktoria Žižkov
72%

Winning margin

Sokol Živanice wins by 2+
11%
Viktoria Žižkov wins by 2+
24%

Team goals

Sokol Živanice 1+ goals
70%
Sokol Živanice 2+ goals
33%
Sokol Živanice 3+ goals
12%
Viktoria Žižkov 1+ goals
80%
Viktoria Žižkov 2+ goals
48%
Viktoria Žižkov 3+ goals
22%

Draw no bet

Sokol Živanice (draw refunded)
37%
Viktoria Žižkov (draw refunded)
63%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
44%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sokol Živanice at home — creates 1.66, concedes 1.30 · 64 matches

Viktoria Žižkov away — creates 1.93, concedes 0.73 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sokol Živanice attack 1.66 + Viktoria Žižkov defence 0.73 → ÷2 → 1.19

Viktoria Žižkov attack 1.93 + Sokol Živanice defence 1.30 → ÷2 → 1.61

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Sokol Živanice scores more
28%
level
25%
Viktoria Žižkov scores more
47%

Viktoria Žižkov at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Viktoria Žižkov will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

3. liga - CFL B: Sokol Živanice 0–3 Viktoria Žižkov

Viktoria Žižkov beat Sokol Živanice 3-0 in 3. liga - CFL B on May 27, 2023.

The match was played at Stadion SK Náchod v Bělovsi in Živanice.