Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Sokol Lom vs Slavoj Český Krumlov — 4. liga - Divizie A 2019

Sokol Lom
Sokol Lom
FT
7 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Slavoj Český Krumlov
Slavoj Český Krumlov
11/12/20224. liga - Divizie A4. liga - Divizie A · Division A - 15Stadion Svépomoc

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 34+ matches

Sokol Lom62%
×Draw19%
Slavoj Český Krumlov19%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Sokol Lom
2.44
Slavoj Český Krumlov
1.28

Sokol Lom creates 91% more chances

Season form · 34 home / 60 away

creates per match

Sokol Lom
2.65
Slavoj Český Krumlov
1.63

allows per match

Sokol Lom
0.94
Slavoj Český Krumlov
2.22

finishing

Sokol Lom+0.00on par
Slavoj Český Krumlov+0.00on par

Total goals

71%Over
  • Over71
  • Under29

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

66%Yes
  • Yes66
  • No34

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sokol Lom ↓

Slavoj Český Krumlov →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–06%
1–18%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–18%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–04%
4–15%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
88%12%2.5
71%29%3.5
50%50%4.5
31%69%

Double chance

Sokol Lom or draw
81%
Sokol Lom or Slavoj Český Krumlov
81%
Draw or Slavoj Český Krumlov
38%

Winning margin

Sokol Lom wins by 2+
41%
Slavoj Český Krumlov wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Sokol Lom 1+ goals
91%
Sokol Lom 2+ goals
70%
Sokol Lom 3+ goals
43%
Slavoj Český Krumlov 1+ goals
72%
Slavoj Český Krumlov 2+ goals
37%
Slavoj Český Krumlov 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Sokol Lom (draw refunded)
77%
Slavoj Český Krumlov (draw refunded)
23%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
58%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sokol Lom at home — creates 2.65, concedes 0.94 · 34 matches

Slavoj Český Krumlov away — creates 1.63, concedes 2.22 · 60 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sokol Lom attack 2.65 + Slavoj Český Krumlov defence 2.22 → ÷2 → 2.44

Slavoj Český Krumlov attack 1.63 + Sokol Lom defence 0.94 → ÷2 → 1.28

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

Sokol Lom scores more
62%
level
19%
Slavoj Český Krumlov scores more
19%

Sokol Lom at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "Sokol Lom will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Sokol Lom vs Slavoj Český Krumlov

Sokol Lom beat Slavoj Český Krumlov 7-0 in 4. liga - Divizie A on November 12, 2022.

The match was played at Stadion Svépomoc in Tábor.