Sogndal 0–0 ODD Ballklubb: Result & Stats

Sogndal

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

ODD Ballklubb

6/18/2017

Eliteserien · Round 13Fosshaugane Campus

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Sogndal39%

×Draw33%

ODD Ballklubb28%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

SogndalExpected goals in this matchODD Ballklubb

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

0.98

0.79

Sogndal

0.98

ODD Ballklubb

0.79

Sogndal creates 24% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 89 away

0.25

creates per match

1.08

0.50

allows per match

1.71

creates per match

Sogndal

0.25

ODD Ballklubb

1.08

allows per match

Sogndal

0.50

ODD Ballklubb

1.71

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Sogndal+0.00on par

ODD Ballklubb+0.00on par

Total goals

Under74
Over26

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No66
Yes34

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sogndal ↓

ODD Ballklubb →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–017%

0–113%

0–25%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–017%

1–113%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–08%

2–16%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–03%

3–12%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (17%) · grid covers 100% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

83%17%1.5

53%47%2.5

26%74%3.5

10%90%4.5

3%97%

Double chance

Sogndal or draw

72%

Sogndal or ODD Ballklubb

67%

Draw or ODD Ballklubb

61%

Winning margin

Sogndal wins by 2+

15%

ODD Ballklubb wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Sogndal 1+ goals

62%

Sogndal 2+ goals

26%

Sogndal 3+ goals

8%

ODD Ballklubb 1+ goals

55%

ODD Ballklubb 2+ goals

19%

ODD Ballklubb 3+ goals

5%

Draw no bet

Sogndal (draw refunded)

58%

ODD Ballklubb (draw refunded)

42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

21%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sogndal at home — creates 0.25, concedes 0.50 · 4 matches

ODD Ballklubb away — creates 1.08, concedes 1.71 · 89 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sogndal attack 0.25 + ODD Ballklubb defence 1.71 → ÷2 → 0.98

ODD Ballklubb attack 1.08 + Sogndal defence 0.50 → ÷2 → 0.79

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Sogndal scores more

39%

level

33%

ODD Ballklubb scores more

28%

Sogndal at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Sogndal will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

5

T. Grøgaard

ODD Ballklubb · D

8.1

Match Events

18'

Eirik Schulze

40'

Martin Ramsland

46'

E. Skaasheim← T. Teniste

61'

S. Mladenovic← Riku Riski

68'

Johan Hove

71'

M. Broberg← F. Nordkvelle

73'

Fredrik Berge

81'

S. Haugen← R. Zekhnini

83'

H. Furebotn← E. Schulze

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

SogndalODD

Overview

27%Possession73%

4Total Shots12

4Corners8

20Fouls13

Shots

4Total Shots12

1On Target0

2Off Target7

1Blocked5

3Inside Box8

1Outside Box4

Passing

27%Possession73%

235Total Passes603

145Accurate Passes503

62%Pass Accuracy83%

Goalkeeping

0Saves1

Discipline

20Fouls13

3Yellow Cards1

0Red Cards0

1Offsides3

Match Recap: Sogndal vs ODD Ballklubb

Sogndal and ODD Ballklubb drew 0-0 in Eliteserien on June 18, 2017.

ODD Ballklubb controlled possession (73%) and registered 12 shots to 4.

The match was played at Fosshaugane Campus in Sogndal.

Sogndal vs ODD Ballklubb — Eliteserien 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Sogndal vs ODD Ballklubb