Sogdiana 3–0 Kokand-1912: Result & Stats

Sogdiana

FT

3 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Kokand-1912

D. Abdumannopov 83'

K. Khalilov 61'

S. Norxonov 53'

5/24/2022

Super League · Round 10So'g'diyona Sport Majmuasi

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 72+ matches

Sogdiana49%

×Draw26%

Kokand-191225%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

SogdianaExpected goals in this matchKokand-1912

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.50

0.98

Sogdiana

1.50

Kokand-1912

0.98

Sogdiana creates 53% more chances

Season form · 103 home / 72 away

1.41

creates per match

0.88

1.07

allows per match

1.58

creates per match

Sogdiana

1.41

Kokand-1912

0.88

allows per match

Sogdiana

1.07

Kokand-1912

1.58

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Sogdiana+0.00on par

Kokand-1912+0.00on par

Total goals

Under55
Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No51
Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sogdiana ↓

Kokand-1912 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–18%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–013%

1–112%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–19%

2–25%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–15%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

71%29%2.5

45%55%3.5

24%76%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Sogdiana or draw

75%

Sogdiana or Kokand-1912

74%

Draw or Kokand-1912

51%

Winning margin

Sogdiana wins by 2+

25%

Kokand-1912 wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Sogdiana 1+ goals

78%

Sogdiana 2+ goals

44%

Sogdiana 3+ goals

19%

Kokand-1912 1+ goals

62%

Kokand-1912 2+ goals

26%

Kokand-1912 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

Sogdiana (draw refunded)

67%

Kokand-1912 (draw refunded)

33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

36%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sogdiana at home — creates 1.41, concedes 1.07 · 103 matches

Kokand-1912 away — creates 0.88, concedes 1.58 · 72 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sogdiana attack 1.41 + Kokand-1912 defence 1.58 → ÷2 → 1.50

Kokand-1912 attack 0.88 + Sogdiana defence 1.07 → ÷2 → 0.98

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Sogdiana scores more

49%

level

26%

Kokand-1912 scores more

25%

Sogdiana at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Sogdiana will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

30'

46'

S. Djurabekov← E. Oripov

46'

J. Obšivač← A. Manazarov

53'

S. Norxonov

61'

K. Khalilov

62'

A. Hojimirzaev← D. Rakhmatullaev

65'

D. Abdumannopov← J. Khasanov

71'

B. Farkhadov← J. Kaxramonov

71'

S. Nurmatov← D. Khasanov

82'

B. Farhodov

82'

A. Mamatxojaev← J. Sidikov

83'

D. Abdumannopov

87'

D. Talkhatov← S. Norxonov

Sogdiana

Kokand-1912

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

⚽

▼

⚽

▼

Norxonov

Manager: U. Bakaev

46'▲S. Djurabekov←▼E. Oripov

46'▲J. Obšivač←▼A. Manazarov

65'▲D. Abdumannopov←▼J. Khasanov

71'▲B. Farkhadov←▼J. Kaxramonov

87'▲D. Talkhatov←▼S. Norxonov

Sogdiana substitutes

DjurabekovObšivačAbdumannopovFarkhadovTalkhatovNomanovNasimovBikmaevAbdullayev

Manager: B. Ashurmatov

62'▲A. Hojimirzaev←▼D. Rakhmatullaev

71'▲S. Nurmatov←▼D. Khasanov

82'▲A. Mamatxojaev←▼J. Sidikov

Kokand-1912 substitutes

HojimirzaevNurmatovMamatxojaevMerzlyakovVahobovAbdullaevKomilovAshurmatov

Match Recap: Sogdiana vs Kokand-1912

Sogdiana beat Kokand-1912 3-0 in Super League on May 24, 2022.

Goals: S. Norxonov (53'), K. Khalilov (61'), D. Abdumannopov (83').

The match was played at So'g'diyona Sport Majmuasi in Jizzax.

Sogdiana vs Kokand-1912 — Super League 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Sogdiana vs Kokand-1912