Sochaux 5–1 Annecy: Result & Stats | Ligue 2

Sochaux

FT

5 – 1

HT: 3 – 0

Annecy

Eliezer Mayenda 90+2'

T. Mauricio 58'

M. Doumbia 38' (pen), 2'

G. Weissbeck 17'

M. Sahi 63' (pen)

2/25/2023

Ligue 2 · Round 25Stade Auguste-Bonal

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 72+ matches

Sochaux41%

×Draw27%

Annecy32%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

SochauxExpected goals in this matchAnnecy

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.35

1.16

Sochaux

1.35

Annecy

1.16

Sochaux creates 16% more chances

Season form · 158 home / 72 away

1.23

creates per match

1.24

1.08

allows per match

1.47

creates per match

Sochaux

1.23

Annecy

1.24

allows per match

Sochaux

1.08

Annecy

1.47

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Sochaux+0.00on par

Annecy+0.00on par

Total goals

Under54
Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

Yes51
No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sochaux ↓

Annecy →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–19%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–011%

1–113%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

71%29%2.5

46%54%3.5

24%76%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Sochaux or draw

68%

Sochaux or Annecy

73%

Draw or Annecy

59%

Winning margin

Sochaux wins by 2+

19%

Annecy wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Sochaux 1+ goals

74%

Sochaux 2+ goals

39%

Sochaux 3+ goals

15%

Annecy 1+ goals

69%

Annecy 2+ goals

32%

Annecy 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

Sochaux (draw refunded)

56%

Annecy (draw refunded)

44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

38%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sochaux at home — creates 1.23, concedes 1.08 · 158 matches

Annecy away — creates 1.24, concedes 1.47 · 72 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sochaux attack 1.23 + Annecy defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.35

Annecy attack 1.24 + Sochaux defence 1.08 → ÷2 → 1.16

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Sochaux scores more

41%

level

27%

Annecy scores more

32%

Sochaux at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Sochaux will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

70

M. Doumbia

Sochaux · M

8.2

Match Events

2'

M. Doumbia↳ V. Henry

17'

G. Weissbeck↳ M. Doumbia

34'

Francois Lajugie

38'

M. DoumbiaPenalty

46'

M. Sahi← A. Bosetti

46'

I. Baldé← S. Shamal

51'

A. Temanfo← F. Lajugie

58'

T. Mauricio↳ I. Aaneba

63'

M. SahiPenalty

64'

F. Kanouté← D. Le Tallec

64'

M. Do Couto← G. Weissbeck

65'

J. Dossou← M. Doumbia

76'

J. Rocchi← Y. Demoncy

80'

Eliezer Mayenda← T. Mauricio

82'

J. Gonçalvés← A. Kashi

83'

R. Pereira De Sa← S. Alvero

90+2'

Eliezer Mayenda

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

SochauxAnnecy

Overview

49%Possession51%

11Total Shots7

2Corners2

8Fouls14

Shots

11Total Shots7

7On Target2

3Off Target5

1Blocked0

6Inside Box4

5Outside Box3

Passing

49%Possession51%

502Total Passes507

400Accurate Passes395

80%Pass Accuracy78%

Goalkeeping

1Saves2

Discipline

8Fouls14

0Yellow Cards1

4Offsides0

Match Recap: Sochaux vs Annecy

Sochaux beat Annecy 5-1 in Ligue 2 on February 25, 2023.

Goals: M. Doumbia (2', 38' pen), G. Weissbeck (17'), T. Mauricio (58'), M. Sahi (63' pen), Eliezer Mayenda (90+2').

Annecy controlled possession (51%) and registered 7 shots to 11.

The match was played at Stade Auguste-Bonal in Montbéliard.

Sochaux vs Annecy — Ligue 2 2010

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Sochaux vs Annecy