Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Slovan Liberec U19 vs České Budějovice U19 — 1. Liga U19 2020

Slovan Liberec U19
Slovan Liberec U19
FT
3 – 3
HT: 0 – 2
České Budějovice U19
České Budějovice U19
10/2/20241. Liga U191. Liga U19 · Round 10Městský stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 45+ matches

Slovan Liberec U1943%
×Draw20%
České Budějovice U1936%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Slovan Liberec U19
2.17
České Budějovice U19
1.98

Slovan Liberec U19 creates 10% more chances

Season form · 45 home / 80 away

creates per match

Slovan Liberec U19
2.20
České Budějovice U19
1.77

allows per match

Slovan Liberec U19
2.18
České Budějovice U19
2.15

finishing

Slovan Liberec U19+0.00on par
České Budějovice U19+0.00on par

Total goals

78%Over
  • Over78
  • Under22

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

76%Yes
  • Yes76
  • No24

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slovan Liberec U19 ↓

České Budějovice U19 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–03%
1–17%
1–27%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–25%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–01%
4–13%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (7%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
92%8%2.5
78%22%3.5
59%41%4.5
39%61%

Double chance

Slovan Liberec U19 or draw
64%
Slovan Liberec U19 or České Budějovice U19
80%
Draw or České Budějovice U19
57%

Winning margin

Slovan Liberec U19 wins by 2+
25%
České Budějovice U19 wins by 2+
19%

Team goals

Slovan Liberec U19 1+ goals
89%
Slovan Liberec U19 2+ goals
64%
Slovan Liberec U19 3+ goals
36%
České Budějovice U19 1+ goals
86%
České Budějovice U19 2+ goals
59%
České Budějovice U19 3+ goals
31%

Draw no bet

Slovan Liberec U19 (draw refunded)
54%
České Budějovice U19 (draw refunded)
46%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
69%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slovan Liberec U19 at home — creates 2.20, concedes 2.18 · 45 matches

České Budějovice U19 away — creates 1.77, concedes 2.15 · 80 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slovan Liberec U19 attack 2.20 + České Budějovice U19 defence 2.15 → ÷2 → 2.17

České Budějovice U19 attack 1.77 + Slovan Liberec U19 defence 2.18 → ÷2 → 1.98

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Slovan Liberec U19 scores more
43%
level
20%
České Budějovice U19 scores more
36%

Slovan Liberec U19 at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Slovan Liberec U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Slovan Liberec U19 vs České Budějovice U19

Slovan Liberec U19 and České Budějovice U19 drew 3-3 in 1. Liga U19 on October 2, 2024.

The match was played at Městský stadion in Liberec.