Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Slovan Giraltovce vs Partizán Bardejov — 3. liga - East 2020

Slovan Giraltovce
Slovan Giraltovce
FT
1 – 2
HT: 0 – 1
Partizán Bardejov
Partizán Bardejov
10/8/20223. liga - East3. liga - East · East - 10Štadión MFK Slovan Giraltovce

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 37+ matches

Slovan Giraltovce57%
×Draw22%
Partizán Bardejov21%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Slovan Giraltovce
1.90
Partizán Bardejov
1.06

Slovan Giraltovce creates 79% more chances

Season form · 37 home / 44 away

creates per match

Slovan Giraltovce
1.24
Partizán Bardejov
1.00

allows per match

Slovan Giraltovce
1.11
Partizán Bardejov
2.57

finishing

Slovan Giraltovce+0.00on par
Partizán Bardejov+0.00on par

Total goals

57%Over
  • Over57
  • Under43

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slovan Giraltovce ↓

Partizán Bardejov →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–110%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
57%43%3.5
34%66%4.5
18%82%

Double chance

Slovan Giraltovce or draw
79%
Slovan Giraltovce or Partizán Bardejov
78%
Draw or Partizán Bardejov
43%

Winning margin

Slovan Giraltovce wins by 2+
33%
Partizán Bardejov wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Slovan Giraltovce 1+ goals
85%
Slovan Giraltovce 2+ goals
56%
Slovan Giraltovce 3+ goals
29%
Partizán Bardejov 1+ goals
65%
Partizán Bardejov 2+ goals
29%
Partizán Bardejov 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Slovan Giraltovce (draw refunded)
73%
Partizán Bardejov (draw refunded)
27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
45%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slovan Giraltovce at home — creates 1.24, concedes 1.11 · 37 matches

Partizán Bardejov away — creates 1.00, concedes 2.57 · 44 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slovan Giraltovce attack 1.24 + Partizán Bardejov defence 2.57 → ÷2 → 1.90

Partizán Bardejov attack 1.00 + Slovan Giraltovce defence 1.11 → ÷2 → 1.06

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Slovan Giraltovce scores more
57%
level
22%
Partizán Bardejov scores more
21%

Slovan Giraltovce at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Slovan Giraltovce will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Slovan Giraltovce vs Partizán Bardejov

Partizán Bardejov beat Slovan Giraltovce 2-1 in 3. liga - East on October 8, 2022.

The match was played at Štadión MFK Slovan Giraltovce in Giraltovce.