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Slovan Duslo Šaľa vs TEMPO Partizánske — 3. liga - West 2020

Slovan Duslo Šaľa
Slovan Duslo Šaľa
FT
6 – 1
TEMPO Partizánske
TEMPO Partizánske
6/11/20223. liga - West3. liga - West · West - 31Futbalový štadión FK Slovan Duslo Šaľa

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Slovan Duslo Šaľa66%
×Draw18%
TEMPO Partizánske16%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Slovan Duslo Šaľa
2.42
TEMPO Partizánske
1.12

Slovan Duslo Šaľa creates 116% more chances

Season form · 85 home / 17 away

creates per match

Slovan Duslo Šaľa
2.20
TEMPO Partizánske
1.00

allows per match

Slovan Duslo Šaľa
1.24
TEMPO Partizánske
2.65

finishing

Slovan Duslo Šaľa+0.00on par
TEMPO Partizánske+0.00on par

Total goals

68%Over
  • Over68
  • Under32

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slovan Duslo Šaľa ↓

TEMPO Partizánske →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–07%
1–18%
1–24%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–07%
3–18%
3–24%
3–32%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–15%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
68%32%3.5
47%53%4.5
27%73%

Double chance

Slovan Duslo Šaľa or draw
84%
Slovan Duslo Šaľa or TEMPO Partizánske
82%
Draw or TEMPO Partizánske
34%

Winning margin

Slovan Duslo Šaľa wins by 2+
43%
TEMPO Partizánske wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Slovan Duslo Šaľa 1+ goals
91%
Slovan Duslo Šaľa 2+ goals
69%
Slovan Duslo Šaľa 3+ goals
43%
TEMPO Partizánske 1+ goals
67%
TEMPO Partizánske 2+ goals
31%
TEMPO Partizánske 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Slovan Duslo Šaľa (draw refunded)
80%
TEMPO Partizánske (draw refunded)
20%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
53%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slovan Duslo Šaľa at home — creates 2.20, concedes 1.24 · 85 matches

TEMPO Partizánske away — creates 1.00, concedes 2.65 · 17 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slovan Duslo Šaľa attack 2.20 + TEMPO Partizánske defence 2.65 → ÷2 → 2.42

TEMPO Partizánske attack 1.00 + Slovan Duslo Šaľa defence 1.24 → ÷2 → 1.12

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 66%?"

Slovan Duslo Šaľa scores more
66%
level
18%
TEMPO Partizánske scores more
16%

Slovan Duslo Šaľa at 66% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 66% does not mean "Slovan Duslo Šaľa will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

3. liga - West: Slovan Duslo Šaľa 6–1 TEMPO Partizánske

Slovan Duslo Šaľa beat TEMPO Partizánske 6-1 in 3. liga - West on June 11, 2022.

The match was played at Futbalový štadión FK Slovan Duslo Šaľa in Šaľa.