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Slovan Duslo Šaľa vs Beluša — 3. liga - West 2020

Slovan Duslo Šaľa
Slovan Duslo Šaľa
FT
0 – 2
HT: 0 – 1
Beluša
Beluša
9/20/20253. liga - West3. liga - West · West - 8Futbalový štadión FK Slovan Duslo Šaľa

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 84+ matches

Slovan Duslo Šaľa45%
×Draw23%
Beluša32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Slovan Duslo Šaľa
1.73
Beluša
1.42

Slovan Duslo Šaľa creates 22% more chances

Season form · 85 home / 84 away

creates per match

Slovan Duslo Šaľa
2.20
Beluša
1.60

allows per match

Slovan Duslo Šaľa
1.24
Beluša
1.25

finishing

Slovan Duslo Šaľa+0.00on par
Beluša+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Over
  • Over61
  • Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slovan Duslo Šaľa ↓

Beluša →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–27%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
61%39%3.5
38%62%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

Slovan Duslo Šaľa or draw
68%
Slovan Duslo Šaľa or Beluša
77%
Draw or Beluša
55%

Winning margin

Slovan Duslo Šaľa wins by 2+
24%
Beluša wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Slovan Duslo Šaľa 1+ goals
82%
Slovan Duslo Šaľa 2+ goals
52%
Slovan Duslo Šaľa 3+ goals
25%
Beluša 1+ goals
76%
Beluša 2+ goals
41%
Beluša 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

Slovan Duslo Šaľa (draw refunded)
59%
Beluša (draw refunded)
41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slovan Duslo Šaľa at home — creates 2.20, concedes 1.24 · 85 matches

Beluša away — creates 1.60, concedes 1.25 · 84 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slovan Duslo Šaľa attack 2.20 + Beluša defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.73

Beluša attack 1.60 + Slovan Duslo Šaľa defence 1.24 → ÷2 → 1.42

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Slovan Duslo Šaľa scores more
45%
level
23%
Beluša scores more
32%

Slovan Duslo Šaľa at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Slovan Duslo Šaľa will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

3. liga - West: Slovan Duslo Šaľa 0–2 Beluša

Beluša beat Slovan Duslo Šaľa 2-0 in 3. liga - West on September 20, 2025.

The match was played at Futbalový štadión FK Slovan Duslo Šaľa in Šaľa.