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Slovan Bratislava II vs Petržalka — 2. liga 2019

Slovan Bratislava II
Slovan Bratislava II
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Petržalka
Petržalka
8/1/20252. liga2. liga · Round 2Pasienky

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 96+ matches

Slovan Bratislava II40%
×Draw25%
Petržalka36%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Slovan Bratislava II
1.52
Petržalka
1.43

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 97 home / 96 away

creates per match

Slovan Bratislava II
1.58
Petržalka
1.26

allows per match

Slovan Bratislava II
1.60
Petržalka
1.45

finishing

Slovan Bratislava II+0.00on par
Petržalka+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Over
  • Over56
  • Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

59%Yes
  • Yes59
  • No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slovan Bratislava II ↓

Petržalka →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–17%
0–25%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–111%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
56%44%3.5
34%66%4.5
18%82%

Double chance

Slovan Bratislava II or draw
64%
Slovan Bratislava II or Petržalka
75%
Draw or Petržalka
60%

Winning margin

Slovan Bratislava II wins by 2+
19%
Petržalka wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

Slovan Bratislava II 1+ goals
78%
Slovan Bratislava II 2+ goals
45%
Slovan Bratislava II 3+ goals
20%
Petržalka 1+ goals
76%
Petržalka 2+ goals
42%
Petržalka 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

Slovan Bratislava II (draw refunded)
53%
Petržalka (draw refunded)
47%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
48%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slovan Bratislava II at home — creates 1.58, concedes 1.60 · 97 matches

Petržalka away — creates 1.26, concedes 1.45 · 96 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slovan Bratislava II attack 1.58 + Petržalka defence 1.45 → ÷2 → 1.52

Petržalka attack 1.26 + Slovan Bratislava II defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 1.43

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Slovan Bratislava II scores more
40%
level
25%
Petržalka scores more
36%

Slovan Bratislava II at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Slovan Bratislava II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

2. liga: Slovan Bratislava II 0–0 Petržalka

Slovan Bratislava II and Petržalka drew 0-0 in 2. liga on August 1, 2025.

The match was played at Pasienky in Bratislava.