Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Petržalka vs Slovan Bratislava II — 2. liga 2019

Petržalka
Petržalka
FT
1 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Slovan Bratislava II
Slovan Bratislava II
11/16/20252. liga2. liga · Round 17Štadión FC Petržalka 1898

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 95+ matches

Petržalka57%
×Draw22%
Slovan Bratislava II21%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Petržalka
1.95
Slovan Bratislava II
1.10

Petržalka creates 77% more chances

Season form · 96 home / 95 away

creates per match

Petržalka
1.82
Slovan Bratislava II
1.03

allows per match

Petržalka
1.18
Slovan Bratislava II
2.08

finishing

Petržalka+0.00on par
Slovan Bratislava II+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Over
  • Over59
  • Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

57%Yes
  • Yes57
  • No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Petržalka ↓

Slovan Bratislava II →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–110%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–16%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
59%41%3.5
36%64%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Petržalka or draw
79%
Petržalka or Slovan Bratislava II
78%
Draw or Slovan Bratislava II
43%

Winning margin

Petržalka wins by 2+
33%
Slovan Bratislava II wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Petržalka 1+ goals
86%
Petržalka 2+ goals
58%
Petržalka 3+ goals
31%
Slovan Bratislava II 1+ goals
67%
Slovan Bratislava II 2+ goals
30%
Slovan Bratislava II 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Petržalka (draw refunded)
73%
Slovan Bratislava II (draw refunded)
27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
47%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Petržalka at home — creates 1.82, concedes 1.18 · 96 matches

Slovan Bratislava II away — creates 1.03, concedes 2.08 · 95 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Petržalka attack 1.82 + Slovan Bratislava II defence 2.08 → ÷2 → 1.95

Slovan Bratislava II attack 1.03 + Petržalka defence 1.18 → ÷2 → 1.10

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Petržalka scores more
57%
level
22%
Slovan Bratislava II scores more
21%

Petržalka at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Petržalka will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

2. liga: Petržalka 1–0 Slovan Bratislava II

Petržalka beat Slovan Bratislava II 1-0 in 2. liga on November 16, 2025.

The match was played at Štadión FC Petržalka 1898 in Bratislava.