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Slovan Bratislava II vs Gyirmot SE — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Slovan Bratislava II
Slovan Bratislava II
FT
1 – 2
HT: 1 – 1
Gyirmot SE
Gyirmot SE
7/1/2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Slovan Bratislava II32%
×Draw28%
Gyirmot SE40%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Slovan Bratislava II
1.08
Gyirmot SE
1.23

Gyirmot SE creates 14% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 7 away

creates per match

Slovan Bratislava II
1.30
Gyirmot SE
0.86

allows per match

Slovan Bratislava II
1.60
Gyirmot SE
0.86

finishing

Slovan Bratislava II+0.00on par
Gyirmot SE+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Under
  • Under59
  • Over41

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

53%No
  • No53
  • Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slovan Bratislava II ↓

Gyirmot SE →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–112%
0–28%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–113%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–17%
2–24%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
67%33%2.5
41%59%3.5
20%80%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Slovan Bratislava II or draw
60%
Slovan Bratislava II or Gyirmot SE
72%
Draw or Gyirmot SE
68%

Winning margin

Slovan Bratislava II wins by 2+
13%
Gyirmot SE wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

Slovan Bratislava II 1+ goals
66%
Slovan Bratislava II 2+ goals
29%
Slovan Bratislava II 3+ goals
10%
Gyirmot SE 1+ goals
71%
Gyirmot SE 2+ goals
35%
Gyirmot SE 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Slovan Bratislava II (draw refunded)
45%
Gyirmot SE (draw refunded)
55%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
34%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slovan Bratislava II at home — creates 1.30, concedes 1.60 · 10 matches

Gyirmot SE away — creates 0.86, concedes 0.86 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slovan Bratislava II attack 1.30 + Gyirmot SE defence 0.86 → ÷2 → 1.08

Gyirmot SE attack 0.86 + Slovan Bratislava II defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 1.23

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Slovan Bratislava II scores more
32%
level
28%
Gyirmot SE scores more
40%

Gyirmot SE at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Gyirmot SE will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Slovan Bratislava II 1–2 Gyirmot SE

Gyirmot SE beat Slovan Bratislava II 2-1 in Friendlies Clubs on July 1, 2023.