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Gyirmot SE vs Slovan Bratislava II — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Gyirmot SE
Gyirmot SE
FT
1 – 2
HT: 0 – 0
Slovan Bratislava II
Slovan Bratislava II
2/14/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Gyirmot SE45%
×Draw24%
Slovan Bratislava II31%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Gyirmot SE
1.61
Slovan Bratislava II
1.30

Gyirmot SE creates 24% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 8 away

creates per match

Gyirmot SE
1.60
Slovan Bratislava II
2.00

allows per match

Gyirmot SE
0.60
Slovan Bratislava II
1.63

finishing

Gyirmot SE+0.00on par
Slovan Bratislava II+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Over
  • Over56
  • Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Gyirmot SE ↓

Slovan Bratislava II →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–17%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
56%44%3.5
33%67%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Gyirmot SE or draw
69%
Gyirmot SE or Slovan Bratislava II
76%
Draw or Slovan Bratislava II
55%

Winning margin

Gyirmot SE wins by 2+
23%
Slovan Bratislava II wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Gyirmot SE 1+ goals
80%
Gyirmot SE 2+ goals
48%
Gyirmot SE 3+ goals
22%
Slovan Bratislava II 1+ goals
73%
Slovan Bratislava II 2+ goals
37%
Slovan Bratislava II 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Gyirmot SE (draw refunded)
59%
Slovan Bratislava II (draw refunded)
41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
47%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Gyirmot SE at home — creates 1.60, concedes 0.60 · 10 matches

Slovan Bratislava II away — creates 2.00, concedes 1.63 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Gyirmot SE attack 1.60 + Slovan Bratislava II defence 1.63 → ÷2 → 1.61

Slovan Bratislava II attack 2.00 + Gyirmot SE defence 0.60 → ÷2 → 1.30

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Gyirmot SE scores more
45%
level
24%
Slovan Bratislava II scores more
31%

Gyirmot SE at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Gyirmot SE will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Gyirmot
Slovan
S. Schindler
Manager: S. Schindler
Vladimir Gala
Manager: Vladimir Gala

Friendlies Clubs: Gyirmot SE 1–2 Slovan Bratislava II

Slovan Bratislava II beat Gyirmot SE 2-1 in Friendlies Clubs on February 14, 2026.