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Slovácko II vs Znojmo — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Slovácko II
Slovácko II
FT
2 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
Znojmo
Znojmo
1/28/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Slovácko II62%
×Draw17%
Znojmo20%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Slovácko II
2.77
Znojmo
1.56

Slovácko II creates 78% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 8 away

creates per match

Slovácko II
2.17
Znojmo
1.63

allows per match

Slovácko II
1.50
Znojmo
3.38

finishing

Slovácko II+0.00on par
Znojmo+0.00on par

Total goals

80%Over
  • Over80
  • Under20

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

74%Yes
  • Yes74
  • No26

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slovácko II ↓

Znojmo →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–12%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–04%
1–16%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–26%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–15%
4–24%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 85% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
93%7%2.5
80%20%3.5
62%38%4.5
42%58%

Double chance

Slovácko II or draw
80%
Slovácko II or Znojmo
83%
Draw or Znojmo
38%

Winning margin

Slovácko II wins by 2+
42%
Znojmo wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Slovácko II 1+ goals
94%
Slovácko II 2+ goals
76%
Slovácko II 3+ goals
51%
Znojmo 1+ goals
79%
Znojmo 2+ goals
46%
Znojmo 3+ goals
21%

Draw no bet

Slovácko II (draw refunded)
75%
Znojmo (draw refunded)
25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
68%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slovácko II at home — creates 2.17, concedes 1.50 · 6 matches

Znojmo away — creates 1.63, concedes 3.38 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slovácko II attack 2.17 + Znojmo defence 3.38 → ÷2 → 2.77

Znojmo attack 1.63 + Slovácko II defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.56

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

Slovácko II scores more
62%
level
17%
Znojmo scores more
20%

Slovácko II at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "Slovácko II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Slovácko II 2–1 Znojmo

Slovácko II beat Znojmo 2-1 in Friendlies Clubs on January 28, 2026.