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Slavia Vejprnice vs Slavoj Český Krumlov — 4. liga - Divizie A 2019

Slavia Vejprnice
Slavia Vejprnice
FT
0 – 2
HT: 0 – 1
Slavoj Český Krumlov
Slavoj Český Krumlov
5/24/20254. liga - Divizie A4. liga - Divizie A · Division A - 27Stadion Slavia Vejprnice

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Slavia Vejprnice29%
×Draw21%
Slavoj Český Krumlov50%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Slavia Vejprnice
1.61
Slavoj Český Krumlov
2.15

Slavoj Český Krumlov creates 34% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 60 away

creates per match

Slavia Vejprnice
1.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
1.63

allows per match

Slavia Vejprnice
2.67
Slavoj Český Krumlov
2.22

finishing

Slavia Vejprnice+0.00on par
Slavoj Český Krumlov+0.00on par

Total goals

72%Over
  • Over72
  • Under28

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

71%Yes
  • Yes71
  • No29

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slavia Vejprnice ↓

Slavoj Český Krumlov →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–15%
0–25%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–04%
1–18%
1–29%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–43%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–24%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–22%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (9%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
89%11%2.5
72%28%3.5
51%49%4.5
32%68%

Double chance

Slavia Vejprnice or draw
50%
Slavia Vejprnice or Slavoj Český Krumlov
79%
Draw or Slavoj Český Krumlov
71%

Winning margin

Slavia Vejprnice wins by 2+
14%
Slavoj Český Krumlov wins by 2+
29%

Team goals

Slavia Vejprnice 1+ goals
80%
Slavia Vejprnice 2+ goals
48%
Slavia Vejprnice 3+ goals
22%
Slavoj Český Krumlov 1+ goals
88%
Slavoj Český Krumlov 2+ goals
63%
Slavoj Český Krumlov 3+ goals
36%

Draw no bet

Slavia Vejprnice (draw refunded)
37%
Slavoj Český Krumlov (draw refunded)
63%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
62%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slavia Vejprnice at home — creates 1.00, concedes 2.67 · 15 matches

Slavoj Český Krumlov away — creates 1.63, concedes 2.22 · 60 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slavia Vejprnice attack 1.00 + Slavoj Český Krumlov defence 2.22 → ÷2 → 1.61

Slavoj Český Krumlov attack 1.63 + Slavia Vejprnice defence 2.67 → ÷2 → 2.15

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Slavia Vejprnice scores more
29%
level
21%
Slavoj Český Krumlov scores more
50%

Slavoj Český Krumlov at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Slavoj Český Krumlov will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Slavia Vejprnice 0 – 2 Slavoj Český Krumlov

Slavoj Český Krumlov beat Slavia Vejprnice 2-0 in 4. liga - Divizie A on May 24, 2025.

The match was played at Stadion Slavia Vejprnice in Vejprnice.