Slavia Praha W 8–0 Baník Ostrava W: Result & Stats

Slavia Praha W

FT

8 – 0

HT: 3 – 0

Baník Ostrava W

8/16/2025

1. Liga Women · Round 1

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Slavia Praha W88%

×Draw8%

Baník Ostrava W4%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Slavia Praha WExpected goals in this matchBaník Ostrava W

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

4.04

0.88

Slavia Praha W

4.04

Baník Ostrava W

0.88

Slavia Praha W creates 359% more chances

Season form · 60 home / 30 away

4.75

creates per match

1.27

0.48

allows per match

3.33

creates per match

Slavia Praha W

4.75

Baník Ostrava W

1.27

allows per match

Slavia Praha W

0.48

Baník Ostrava W

3.33

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Slavia Praha W+0.00on par

Baník Ostrava W+0.00on par

Total goals

Over85
Under15

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes57
No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slavia Praha W ↓

Baník Ostrava W →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–01%

0–11%

0–20%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–03%

1–13%

1–21%

1–30%

1–40%

2

2–07%

2–16%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–09%

3–18%

3–24%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–09%

4–18%

4–24%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 3–0 (9%) · grid covers 70% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

99%1%1.5

95%5%2.5

85%15%3.5

69%31%4.5

49%51%

Double chance

Slavia Praha W or draw

96%

Slavia Praha W or Baník Ostrava W

92%

Draw or Baník Ostrava W

12%

Winning margin

Slavia Praha W wins by 2+

74%

Baník Ostrava W wins by 2+

1%

Team goals

Slavia Praha W 1+ goals

98%

Slavia Praha W 2+ goals

90%

Slavia Praha W 3+ goals

74%

Baník Ostrava W 1+ goals

59%

Baník Ostrava W 2+ goals

22%

Baník Ostrava W 3+ goals

6%

Draw no bet

Slavia Praha W (draw refunded)

95%

Baník Ostrava W (draw refunded)

5%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

54%

Both score & under 3

3%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slavia Praha W at home — creates 4.75, concedes 0.48 · 60 matches

Baník Ostrava W away — creates 1.27, concedes 3.33 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slavia Praha W attack 4.75 + Baník Ostrava W defence 3.33 → ÷2 → 4.04

Baník Ostrava W attack 1.27 + Slavia Praha W defence 0.48 → ÷2 → 0.88

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 88%?"

Slavia Praha W scores more

88%

level

8%

Baník Ostrava W scores more

4%

Slavia Praha W at 88% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 88% does not mean "Slavia Praha W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff