Slavia Praha 2–2 Feyenoord: Result & Stats

Slavia Praha

FT

2 – 2

HT: 1 – 1

Feyenoord

J. Kuchta 66'

P. Olayinka 12'

C. Dessers 90+3', 31'

11/25/2021

UEFA Europa Conference League · Group Stage - 5Sinobo Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

Slavia Praha46%

×Draw23%

Feyenoord31%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Slavia PrahaExpected goals in this matchFeyenoord

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.73

1.39

Slavia Praha

1.73

Feyenoord

1.39

Slavia Praha creates 24% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 10 away

2.45

creates per match

1.60

1.18

allows per match

1.00

creates per match

Slavia Praha

2.45

Feyenoord

1.60

allows per match

Slavia Praha

1.18

Feyenoord

1.00

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Slavia Praha+0.00on par

Feyenoord+0.00on par

Total goals

Over60
Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes62
No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slavia Praha ↓

Feyenoord →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–16%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–08%

1–111%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

82%18%2.5

60%40%3.5

38%62%4.5

20%80%

Double chance

Slavia Praha or draw

69%

Slavia Praha or Feyenoord

77%

Draw or Feyenoord

54%

Winning margin

Slavia Praha wins by 2+

24%

Feyenoord wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

Slavia Praha 1+ goals

82%

Slavia Praha 2+ goals

52%

Slavia Praha 3+ goals

25%

Feyenoord 1+ goals

75%

Feyenoord 2+ goals

40%

Feyenoord 3+ goals

16%

Draw no bet

Slavia Praha (draw refunded)

59%

Feyenoord (draw refunded)

41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

51%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slavia Praha at home — creates 2.45, concedes 1.18 · 11 matches

Feyenoord away — creates 1.60, concedes 1.00 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slavia Praha attack 2.45 + Feyenoord defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.73

Feyenoord attack 1.60 + Slavia Praha defence 1.18 → ÷2 → 1.39

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Slavia Praha scores more

46%

level

23%

Feyenoord scores more

31%

Slavia Praha at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Slavia Praha will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

33

C. Dessers

Feyenoord · F

8.5

Match Events

-5'

Michael Krmenčík

-5'

João Teixeira

12'

P. Olayinka↳ A. Bah

19'

C. Dessers← B. Linssen

27'

Aiham Ousou

31'

C. Dessers↳ J. Toornstra

37'

Guus Til

39'

Lukáš Masopust

46'

J. Kuchta← L. Masopust

62'

P. Ševčík← I. Schranz

63'

66'

69'

72'

78'

78'

A. Jahanbakhsh← J. Toornstra

85'

R. Nelson← L. Sinisterra

85'

L. Geertruida← M. Senesi

89'

89'

89'

90+2'

90+3'

C. Dessers↳ L. Geertruida

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

SlaviaFeyenoord

Overview

60%Possession40%

11Total Shots9

6Corners3

15Fouls12

Shots

11Total Shots9

6On Target5

3Off Target2

2Blocked2

6Inside Box6

5Outside Box3

Passing

60%Possession40%

462Total Passes312

363Accurate Passes208

79%Pass Accuracy67%

Goalkeeping

2Saves4

Discipline

15Fouls12

6Yellow Cards4

0Red Cards1

2Offsides2

Match Recap: Slavia Praha vs Feyenoord

Slavia Praha and Feyenoord drew 2-2 in UEFA Europa Conference League on November 25, 2021.

Goals: P. Olayinka (12'), C. Dessers (31', 90+3'), J. Kuchta (66').

Slavia Praha controlled possession (60%) and registered 11 shots to 9.

The match was played at Sinobo Stadium in Praha.

Slavia Praha vs Feyenoord — UEFA Europa Conference League 2021

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Slavia Praha vs Feyenoord