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Skalica vs Vyškov — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Skalica
Skalica
FT
0 – 1
HT: 0 – 1
Vyškov
Vyškov
A. Sylla 41'
1/13/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Mestský štadión

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Skalica55%
×Draw22%
Vyškov23%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Skalica
2.00
Vyškov
1.21

Skalica creates 65% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 12 away

creates per match

Skalica
2.17
Vyškov
1.58

allows per match

Skalica
0.83
Vyškov
1.83

finishing

Skalica+0.00on par
Vyškov+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Over
  • Over62
  • Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Skalica ↓

Vyškov →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–110%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–24%
3–32%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
62%38%3.5
40%60%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

Skalica or draw
77%
Skalica or Vyškov
78%
Draw or Vyškov
45%

Winning margin

Skalica wins by 2+
33%
Vyškov wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Skalica 1+ goals
86%
Skalica 2+ goals
59%
Skalica 3+ goals
32%
Vyškov 1+ goals
70%
Vyškov 2+ goals
34%
Vyškov 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Skalica (draw refunded)
71%
Vyškov (draw refunded)
29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Skalica at home — creates 2.17, concedes 0.83 · 6 matches

Vyškov away — creates 1.58, concedes 1.83 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Skalica attack 2.17 + Vyškov defence 1.83 → ÷2 → 2.00

Vyškov attack 1.58 + Skalica defence 0.83 → ÷2 → 1.21

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Skalica scores more
55%
level
22%
Vyškov scores more
23%

Skalica at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Skalica will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

41'
A. Sylla

Statistics

SkalicaVyškov
Overview
6Corners4

Friendlies Clubs: Skalica 0–1 Vyškov

Vyškov beat Skalica 1-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 13, 2024.

Goals: A. Sylla (41').

The match was played at Mestský štadión in Skalica.