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SK Vorwarts Steyr vs Bad Schallerbach — Landesliga - Oberosterreich 2019

SK Vorwarts Steyr
SK Vorwarts Steyr
FT
5 – 0
HT: 3 – 0
Bad Schallerbach
Bad Schallerbach
11/8/2025Landesliga - OberosterreichLandesliga - Oberosterreich · Oberösterreich - 15LIWEST Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

SK Vorwarts Steyr57%
×Draw21%
Bad Schallerbach22%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 577,253 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

SK Vorwarts Steyr
2.05
Bad Schallerbach
1.18

SK Vorwarts Steyr creates 74% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 75 away

creates per match

SK Vorwarts Steyr
2.27
Bad Schallerbach
1.48

allows per match

SK Vorwarts Steyr
0.87
Bad Schallerbach
1.83

finishing

SK Vorwarts Steyr+0.00on par
Bad Schallerbach+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Over
  • Over62
  • Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

SK Vorwarts Steyr ↓

Bad Schallerbach →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–110%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–17%
3–24%
3–32%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
62%38%3.5
40%60%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

SK Vorwarts Steyr or draw
78%
SK Vorwarts Steyr or Bad Schallerbach
79%
Draw or Bad Schallerbach
43%

Winning margin

SK Vorwarts Steyr wins by 2+
34%
Bad Schallerbach wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

SK Vorwarts Steyr 1+ goals
87%
SK Vorwarts Steyr 2+ goals
61%
SK Vorwarts Steyr 3+ goals
33%
Bad Schallerbach 1+ goals
69%
Bad Schallerbach 2+ goals
33%
Bad Schallerbach 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

SK Vorwarts Steyr (draw refunded)
73%
Bad Schallerbach (draw refunded)
27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

SK Vorwarts Steyr at home — creates 2.27, concedes 0.87 · 15 matches

Bad Schallerbach away — creates 1.48, concedes 1.83 · 75 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

SK Vorwarts Steyr attack 2.27 + Bad Schallerbach defence 1.83 → ÷2 → 2.05

Bad Schallerbach attack 1.48 + SK Vorwarts Steyr defence 0.87 → ÷2 → 1.18

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

SK Vorwarts Steyr scores more
57%
level
21%
Bad Schallerbach scores more
22%

SK Vorwarts Steyr at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "SK Vorwarts Steyr will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Landesliga - Oberosterreich: SK Vorwarts Steyr 5–0 Bad Schallerbach

SK Vorwarts Steyr beat Bad Schallerbach 5-0 in Landesliga - Oberosterreich on November 8, 2025.

The match was played at LIWEST Arena in Steyr.