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Bad Schallerbach vs SK Vorwarts Steyr — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Bad Schallerbach
Bad Schallerbach
FT
2 – 2
HT: 1 – 1
SK Vorwarts Steyr
SK Vorwarts Steyr
A. Froschl 78'
D. Gremsl 8'
J. Mwanga 65', 27'
2/8/2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Bad Schallerbach37%
×Draw24%
SK Vorwarts Steyr40%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.4%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.4% correct across 574,295 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bad Schallerbach
1.56
SK Vorwarts Steyr
1.63

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 6 home / 8 away

creates per match

Bad Schallerbach
1.50
SK Vorwarts Steyr
1.25

allows per match

Bad Schallerbach
2.00
SK Vorwarts Steyr
1.63

finishing

Bad Schallerbach+0.00on par
SK Vorwarts Steyr+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Over
  • Over62
  • Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

63%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bad Schallerbach ↓

SK Vorwarts Steyr →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–17%
0–25%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–110%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
62%38%3.5
39%61%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

Bad Schallerbach or draw
60%
Bad Schallerbach or SK Vorwarts Steyr
76%
Draw or SK Vorwarts Steyr
63%

Winning margin

Bad Schallerbach wins by 2+
18%
SK Vorwarts Steyr wins by 2+
20%

Team goals

Bad Schallerbach 1+ goals
79%
Bad Schallerbach 2+ goals
46%
Bad Schallerbach 3+ goals
21%
SK Vorwarts Steyr 1+ goals
80%
SK Vorwarts Steyr 2+ goals
48%
SK Vorwarts Steyr 3+ goals
22%

Draw no bet

Bad Schallerbach (draw refunded)
48%
SK Vorwarts Steyr (draw refunded)
52%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
53%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bad Schallerbach at home — creates 1.50, concedes 2.00 · 6 matches

SK Vorwarts Steyr away — creates 1.25, concedes 1.63 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bad Schallerbach attack 1.50 + SK Vorwarts Steyr defence 1.63 → ÷2 → 1.56

SK Vorwarts Steyr attack 1.25 + Bad Schallerbach defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.63

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Bad Schallerbach scores more
37%
level
24%
SK Vorwarts Steyr scores more
40%

SK Vorwarts Steyr at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "SK Vorwarts Steyr will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

8'
D. Gremsl
27'
J. Mwanga↳ M. Vrana
65'
J. Mwanga↳ D. Bilic
78'
A. Froschl
Bad
SK
E. Renner
Manager: E. Renner
D. Nimmervoll
Manager: D. Nimmervoll

Match Recap: Bad Schallerbach vs SK Vorwarts Steyr

Bad Schallerbach and SK Vorwarts Steyr drew 2-2 in Friendlies Clubs on February 8, 2025.

Goals: D. Gremsl (8'), J. Mwanga (27', 65'), A. Froschl (78').