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Singleton Strikers vs Cessnock City Hornets — NNSW League 1 2026

Singleton Strikers
Singleton Strikers
FT
0 – 2
HT: 0 – 1
Cessnock City Hornets
Cessnock City Hornets
6/25/2025NNSW League 1NNSW League 1 · Round 10Howe Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 28+ matches

Singleton Strikers44%
×Draw23%
Cessnock City Hornets33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Singleton Strikers
1.79
Cessnock City Hornets
1.53

Singleton Strikers creates 17% more chances

Season form · 28 home / 28 away

creates per match

Singleton Strikers
1.36
Cessnock City Hornets
1.39

allows per match

Singleton Strikers
1.68
Cessnock City Hornets
2.21

finishing

Singleton Strikers+0.00on par
Cessnock City Hornets+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Over
  • Over64
  • Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

65%Yes
  • Yes65
  • No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Singleton Strikers ↓

Cessnock City Hornets →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–110%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
64%36%3.5
42%58%4.5
24%76%

Double chance

Singleton Strikers or draw
67%
Singleton Strikers or Cessnock City Hornets
77%
Draw or Cessnock City Hornets
56%

Winning margin

Singleton Strikers wins by 2+
23%
Cessnock City Hornets wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Singleton Strikers 1+ goals
83%
Singleton Strikers 2+ goals
53%
Singleton Strikers 3+ goals
26%
Cessnock City Hornets 1+ goals
78%
Cessnock City Hornets 2+ goals
45%
Cessnock City Hornets 3+ goals
20%

Draw no bet

Singleton Strikers (draw refunded)
57%
Cessnock City Hornets (draw refunded)
43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
55%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Singleton Strikers at home — creates 1.36, concedes 1.68 · 28 matches

Cessnock City Hornets away — creates 1.39, concedes 2.21 · 28 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Singleton Strikers attack 1.36 + Cessnock City Hornets defence 2.21 → ÷2 → 1.79

Cessnock City Hornets attack 1.39 + Singleton Strikers defence 1.68 → ÷2 → 1.53

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Singleton Strikers scores more
44%
level
23%
Cessnock City Hornets scores more
33%

Singleton Strikers at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Singleton Strikers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

NNSW League 1: Singleton Strikers 0–2 Cessnock City Hornets

Cessnock City Hornets beat Singleton Strikers 2-0 in NNSW League 1 on June 25, 2025.

The match was played at Howe Park in Singleton.