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Cessnock City Hornets vs Singleton Strikers — NNSW League 1 2026

Cessnock City Hornets
Cessnock City Hornets
FT
2 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Singleton Strikers
Singleton Strikers
3/15/2026NNSW League 1NNSW League 1 · Round 1

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 28+ matches

Cessnock City Hornets36%
×Draw23%
Singleton Strikers40%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Cessnock City Hornets
1.58
Singleton Strikers
1.67

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 28 home / 28 away

creates per match

Cessnock City Hornets
1.46
Singleton Strikers
1.64

allows per match

Cessnock City Hornets
1.71
Singleton Strikers
1.71

finishing

Cessnock City Hornets+0.00on par
Singleton Strikers+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

64%Yes
  • Yes64
  • No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Cessnock City Hornets ↓

Singleton Strikers →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–25%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–110%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
63%37%3.5
41%59%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

Cessnock City Hornets or draw
60%
Cessnock City Hornets or Singleton Strikers
77%
Draw or Singleton Strikers
64%

Winning margin

Cessnock City Hornets wins by 2+
18%
Singleton Strikers wins by 2+
20%

Team goals

Cessnock City Hornets 1+ goals
79%
Cessnock City Hornets 2+ goals
47%
Cessnock City Hornets 3+ goals
21%
Singleton Strikers 1+ goals
81%
Singleton Strikers 2+ goals
50%
Singleton Strikers 3+ goals
23%

Draw no bet

Cessnock City Hornets (draw refunded)
48%
Singleton Strikers (draw refunded)
52%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
54%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Cessnock City Hornets at home — creates 1.46, concedes 1.71 · 28 matches

Singleton Strikers away — creates 1.64, concedes 1.71 · 28 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Cessnock City Hornets attack 1.46 + Singleton Strikers defence 1.71 → ÷2 → 1.58

Singleton Strikers attack 1.64 + Cessnock City Hornets defence 1.71 → ÷2 → 1.67

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Cessnock City Hornets scores more
36%
level
23%
Singleton Strikers scores more
40%

Singleton Strikers at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Singleton Strikers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

NNSW League 1: Cessnock City Hornets 2–0 Singleton Strikers

Cessnock City Hornets beat Singleton Strikers 2-0 in NNSW League 1 on March 15, 2026.