Scoreo

Singapore U19 vs Thailand U19AFF U19 Championship 2022

Singapore U19
Singapore U19
FT
04
HT: 02
Thailand U19
Thailand U19
R. Khodchasamee 90+2'
S. Chanchaemsai 72'
Unknown 40' (OG)
P. Larsawat 27'

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Singapore U1914%
×Draw21%
Thailand U1965%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Singapore U19
0.75
Thailand U19
1.92

Thailand U19 creates 156% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 8 away

creates per match

Singapore U19
1.00
Thailand U19
2.00

allows per match

Singapore U19
1.83
Thailand U19
0.50

finishing

Singapore U19+0.00on par
Thailand U19+0.00on par

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

55%No
  • No55
  • Yes45

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Singapore U19

Thailand U19
0
1
2
3
4
0
007%
0113%
0213%
038%
044%
1
105%
1110%
1210%
136%
143%
2
202%
214%
224%
232%
241%
3
300%
311%
321%
331%
340%
4
400%
410%
420%
430%
440%

Most likely 0–1 (13%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
74%26%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Singapore U19 or draw
35%
Singapore U19 or Thailand U19
79%
Draw or Thailand U19
86%

Winning margin

Singapore U19 wins by 2+
4%
Thailand U19 wins by 2+
39%

Team goals

Singapore U19 1+ goals
53%
Singapore U19 2+ goals
17%
Singapore U19 3+ goals
4%
Thailand U19 1+ goals
85%
Thailand U19 2+ goals
57%
Thailand U19 3+ goals
30%

Draw no bet

Singapore U19 (draw refunded)
18%
Thailand U19 (draw refunded)
82%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
35%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Singapore U19 at homecreates 1.00, concedes 1.83 · 6 matches

Thailand U19 awaycreates 2.00, concedes 0.50 · 8 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Singapore U19 attack 1.00 + Thailand U19 defence 0.50 → ÷2 → 0.75

Thailand U19 attack 2.00 + Singapore U19 defence 1.83 → ÷2 → 1.92

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 65%?"

Singapore U19 scores more
14%
level
21%
Thailand U19 scores more
65%

Thailand U19 at 65% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 65% does not mean "Thailand U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

27'
P. Larsawat
40'
Own goal
47'
72'
S. Chanchaemsai
90+2'
R. Khodchasamee

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Singapore U19 0 – 4 Thailand U19

Thailand U19 beat Singapore U19 4-0 in AFF U19 Championship on June 5, 2026.

Goals: P. Larsawat (27'), ? (40' o.g.), S. Chanchaemsai (72'), R. Khodchasamee (90+2').

The match was played at Stadion Teladan in Medan.