Simba Bhora 0–0 Ngezi Platinum: Result & Stats

Simba Bhora

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Ngezi Platinum

5/31/2025

Premier Soccer League · Round 14Wadzanai Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 62+ matches

Simba Bhora40%

×Draw34%

Ngezi Platinum26%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Simba BhoraExpected goals in this matchNgezi Platinum

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

0.96

0.72

Simba Bhora

0.96

Ngezi Platinum

0.72

Simba Bhora creates 33% more chances

Season form · 62 home / 96 away

1.13

creates per match

0.88

0.55

allows per match

0.80

creates per match

Simba Bhora

1.13

Ngezi Platinum

0.88

allows per match

Simba Bhora

0.55

Ngezi Platinum

0.80

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Simba Bhora+0.00on par

Ngezi Platinum+0.00on par

Total goals

Under76
Over24

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No68
Yes32

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Simba Bhora ↓

Ngezi Platinum →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–019%

0–113%

0–25%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–018%

1–113%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–16%

2–22%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–03%

3–12%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–10%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (19%) · grid covers 100% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

81%19%1.5

50%50%2.5

24%76%3.5

9%91%4.5

3%97%

Double chance

Simba Bhora or draw

74%

Simba Bhora or Ngezi Platinum

66%

Draw or Ngezi Platinum

60%

Winning margin

Simba Bhora wins by 2+

15%

Ngezi Platinum wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Simba Bhora 1+ goals

62%

Simba Bhora 2+ goals

25%

Simba Bhora 3+ goals

7%

Ngezi Platinum 1+ goals

51%

Ngezi Platinum 2+ goals

16%

Ngezi Platinum 3+ goals

4%

Draw no bet

Simba Bhora (draw refunded)

60%

Ngezi Platinum (draw refunded)

40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

19%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Simba Bhora at home — creates 1.13, concedes 0.55 · 62 matches

Ngezi Platinum away — creates 0.88, concedes 0.80 · 96 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Simba Bhora attack 1.13 + Ngezi Platinum defence 0.80 → ÷2 → 0.96

Ngezi Platinum attack 0.88 + Simba Bhora defence 0.55 → ÷2 → 0.72

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Simba Bhora scores more

40%

level

34%

Ngezi Platinum scores more

26%

Simba Bhora at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Simba Bhora will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff