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Silver Strikers vs Moyale Barracks — Super League 2026

Silver Strikers
Silver Strikers
FT
4 – 1
HT: 1 – 0
Moyale Barracks
Moyale Barracks
C. Maonga 76'
F. Duwe 69'
A. Joseph 52', 39'
C. Nkhoma 58'
5/2/2026Super LeagueSuper League · Round 2

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 76+ matches

Silver Strikers60%
×Draw24%
Moyale Barracks16%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Silver Strikers
1.67
Moyale Barracks
0.73

Silver Strikers creates 129% more chances

Season form · 76 home / 78 away

creates per match

Silver Strikers
1.93
Moyale Barracks
0.83

allows per match

Silver Strikers
0.63
Moyale Barracks
1.41

finishing

Silver Strikers+0.00on par
Moyale Barracks+0.00on par

Total goals

57%Under
  • Under57
  • Over43

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

58%No
  • No58
  • Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Silver Strikers ↓

Moyale Barracks →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–17%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–111%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–013%
2–19%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–15%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
69%31%2.5
43%57%3.5
22%78%4.5
9%91%

Double chance

Silver Strikers or draw
84%
Silver Strikers or Moyale Barracks
76%
Draw or Moyale Barracks
40%

Winning margin

Silver Strikers wins by 2+
33%
Moyale Barracks wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Silver Strikers 1+ goals
81%
Silver Strikers 2+ goals
50%
Silver Strikers 3+ goals
23%
Moyale Barracks 1+ goals
52%
Moyale Barracks 2+ goals
17%
Moyale Barracks 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Silver Strikers (draw refunded)
79%
Moyale Barracks (draw refunded)
21%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
31%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Silver Strikers at home — creates 1.93, concedes 0.63 · 76 matches

Moyale Barracks away — creates 0.83, concedes 1.41 · 78 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Silver Strikers attack 1.93 + Moyale Barracks defence 1.41 → ÷2 → 1.67

Moyale Barracks attack 0.83 + Silver Strikers defence 0.63 → ÷2 → 0.73

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Silver Strikers scores more
60%
level
24%
Moyale Barracks scores more
16%

Silver Strikers at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Silver Strikers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

39'
A. Joseph
52'
A. Joseph
58'
C. Nkhoma
69'
F. Duwe
76'
C. Maonga

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Super League: Silver Strikers 4–1 Moyale Barracks

Silver Strikers beat Moyale Barracks 4-1 in Super League on May 2, 2026.

Goals: A. Joseph (39', 52'), C. Nkhoma (58'), F. Duwe (69'), C. Maonga (76').