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Silver Strikers vs Ekhaya — Super League 2026

Silver Strikers
Silver Strikers
FT
3 – 1
HT: 2 – 0
Ekhaya
Ekhaya
7/26/2025Super LeagueSuper League · Round 10Silver Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 20+ matches

Silver Strikers57%
×Draw25%
Ekhaya18%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Silver Strikers
1.60
Ekhaya
0.78

Silver Strikers creates 105% more chances

Season form · 82 home / 20 away

creates per match

Silver Strikers
2.00
Ekhaya
0.95

allows per match

Silver Strikers
0.62
Ekhaya
1.20

finishing

Silver Strikers+0.00on par
Ekhaya+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Under
  • Under58
  • Over42

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

57%No
  • No57
  • Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Silver Strikers ↓

Ekhaya →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–17%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–112%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–012%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–15%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
69%31%2.5
42%58%3.5
22%78%4.5
9%91%

Double chance

Silver Strikers or draw
82%
Silver Strikers or Ekhaya
75%
Draw or Ekhaya
43%

Winning margin

Silver Strikers wins by 2+
31%
Ekhaya wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Silver Strikers 1+ goals
80%
Silver Strikers 2+ goals
47%
Silver Strikers 3+ goals
22%
Ekhaya 1+ goals
54%
Ekhaya 2+ goals
18%
Ekhaya 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Silver Strikers (draw refunded)
76%
Ekhaya (draw refunded)
24%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
32%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Silver Strikers at home — creates 2.00, concedes 0.62 · 82 matches

Ekhaya away — creates 0.95, concedes 1.20 · 20 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Silver Strikers attack 2.00 + Ekhaya defence 1.20 → ÷2 → 1.60

Ekhaya attack 0.95 + Silver Strikers defence 0.62 → ÷2 → 0.78

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Silver Strikers scores more
57%
level
25%
Ekhaya scores more
18%

Silver Strikers at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Silver Strikers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Silver Strikers vs Ekhaya

Silver Strikers beat Ekhaya 3-1 in Super League on July 26, 2025.

The match was played at Silver Stadium in Lilongwe.