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Ekhaya vs Silver Strikers — Super League 2026

Ekhaya
Ekhaya
FT
0 – 1
HT: 0 – 1
Silver Strikers
Silver Strikers
12/10/2025Super LeagueSuper League · Round 17Kamuzu Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 19+ matches

Ekhaya41%
×Draw31%
Silver Strikers28%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Ekhaya
1.11
Silver Strikers
0.85

Ekhaya creates 31% more chances

Season form · 19 home / 84 away

creates per match

Ekhaya
1.53
Silver Strikers
1.17

allows per match

Ekhaya
0.53
Silver Strikers
0.70

finishing

Ekhaya+0.00on par
Silver Strikers+0.00on par

Total goals

69%Under
  • Under69
  • Over31

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

62%No
  • No62
  • Yes38

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Ekhaya ↓

Silver Strikers →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–014%
0–112%
0–25%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–016%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–17%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
86%14%1.5
58%42%2.5
31%69%3.5
14%86%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Ekhaya or draw
72%
Ekhaya or Silver Strikers
69%
Draw or Silver Strikers
59%

Winning margin

Ekhaya wins by 2+
17%
Silver Strikers wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Ekhaya 1+ goals
67%
Ekhaya 2+ goals
30%
Ekhaya 3+ goals
10%
Silver Strikers 1+ goals
57%
Silver Strikers 2+ goals
21%
Silver Strikers 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Ekhaya (draw refunded)
60%
Silver Strikers (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
25%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Ekhaya at home — creates 1.53, concedes 0.53 · 19 matches

Silver Strikers away — creates 1.17, concedes 0.70 · 84 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Ekhaya attack 1.53 + Silver Strikers defence 0.70 → ÷2 → 1.11

Silver Strikers attack 1.17 + Ekhaya defence 0.53 → ÷2 → 0.85

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Ekhaya scores more
41%
level
31%
Silver Strikers scores more
28%

Ekhaya at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Ekhaya will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Super League: Ekhaya 0–1 Silver Strikers

Silver Strikers beat Ekhaya 1-0 in Super League on December 10, 2025.

The match was played at Kamuzu Stadium in Blantyre.