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Silver Strikers vs Baka City — Super League 2026

Silver Strikers
Silver Strikers
FT
2 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Baka City
Baka City
11/27/2024Super LeagueSuper League · Round 23Silver Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Silver Strikers83%
×Draw12%
Baka City5%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Silver Strikers
2.74
Baka City
0.54

Silver Strikers creates 407% more chances

Season form · 82 home / 15 away

creates per match

Silver Strikers
2.00
Baka City
0.47

allows per match

Silver Strikers
0.62
Baka City
3.47

finishing

Silver Strikers+0.00on par
Baka City+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%No
  • No61
  • Yes39

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Silver Strikers ↓

Baka City →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–12%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–011%
1–16%
1–22%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–014%
2–18%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–013%
3–17%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–09%
4–15%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (14%) · grid covers 88% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
63%37%3.5
40%60%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

Silver Strikers or draw
95%
Silver Strikers or Baka City
88%
Draw or Baka City
17%

Winning margin

Silver Strikers wins by 2+
62%
Baka City wins by 2+
1%

Team goals

Silver Strikers 1+ goals
93%
Silver Strikers 2+ goals
75%
Silver Strikers 3+ goals
51%
Baka City 1+ goals
42%
Baka City 2+ goals
10%
Baka City 3+ goals
2%

Draw no bet

Silver Strikers (draw refunded)
94%
Baka City (draw refunded)
6%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
33%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Silver Strikers at home — creates 2.00, concedes 0.62 · 82 matches

Baka City away — creates 0.47, concedes 3.47 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Silver Strikers attack 2.00 + Baka City defence 3.47 → ÷2 → 2.74

Baka City attack 0.47 + Silver Strikers defence 0.62 → ÷2 → 0.54

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 83%?"

Silver Strikers scores more
83%
level
12%
Baka City scores more
5%

Silver Strikers at 83% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 83% does not mean "Silver Strikers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Super League: Silver Strikers 2–0 Baka City

Silver Strikers beat Baka City 2-0 in Super League on November 27, 2024.

The match was played at Silver Stadium in Lilongwe.