Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Silver Sands vs St. Andrew Lions — Premier League 2019

Silver Sands
Silver Sands
FT
1 – 2
St. Andrew Lions
St. Andrew Lions
5/14/2023Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 7Wildey Turf

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 23+ matches

Silver Sands24%
×Draw18%
St. Andrew Lions58%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Silver Sands
1.77
St. Andrew Lions
2.77

St. Andrew Lions creates 56% more chances

Season form · 23 home / 27 away

creates per match

Silver Sands
0.74
St. Andrew Lions
1.67

allows per match

Silver Sands
3.87
St. Andrew Lions
2.81

finishing

Silver Sands+0.00on par
St. Andrew Lions+0.00on par

Total goals

83%Over
  • Over83
  • Under17

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

78%Yes
  • Yes78
  • No22

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Silver Sands ↓

St. Andrew Lions →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–13%
0–24%
0–34%
0–43%
1
1–02%
1–15%
1–27%
1–37%
1–45%
2
2–02%
2–15%
2–27%
2–36%
2–44%
3
3–01%
3–13%
3–24%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–22%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (7%) · grid covers 84% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
94%6%2.5
83%17%3.5
66%34%4.5
46%54%

Double chance

Silver Sands or draw
42%
Silver Sands or St. Andrew Lions
82%
Draw or St. Andrew Lions
76%

Winning margin

Silver Sands wins by 2+
11%
St. Andrew Lions wins by 2+
38%

Team goals

Silver Sands 1+ goals
83%
Silver Sands 2+ goals
53%
Silver Sands 3+ goals
26%
St. Andrew Lions 1+ goals
94%
St. Andrew Lions 2+ goals
76%
St. Andrew Lions 3+ goals
51%

Draw no bet

Silver Sands (draw refunded)
29%
St. Andrew Lions (draw refunded)
71%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
72%
Both score & under 3
5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Silver Sands at home — creates 0.74, concedes 3.87 · 23 matches

St. Andrew Lions away — creates 1.67, concedes 2.81 · 27 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Silver Sands attack 0.74 + St. Andrew Lions defence 2.81 → ÷2 → 1.77

St. Andrew Lions attack 1.67 + Silver Sands defence 3.87 → ÷2 → 2.77

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

Silver Sands scores more
24%
level
18%
St. Andrew Lions scores more
58%

St. Andrew Lions at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "St. Andrew Lions will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Silver Sands vs St. Andrew Lions

St. Andrew Lions beat Silver Sands 2-1 in Premier League on May 14, 2023.

The match was played at Wildey Turf in Bridgetown.