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Silver Sands vs Brittons Hill — Premier League 2019

Silver Sands
Silver Sands
CANC
00:00
Brittons Hill
Brittons Hill
6/29/2020Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 14Wildey Turf

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 23+ matches

Silver Sands14%
×Draw15%
Brittons Hill71%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Silver Sands
1.25
Brittons Hill
2.95

Brittons Hill creates 136% more chances

Season form · 23 home / 40 away

creates per match

Silver Sands
0.74
Brittons Hill
2.02

allows per match

Silver Sands
3.87
Brittons Hill
1.75

finishing

Silver Sands+0.00on par
Brittons Hill+0.00on par

Total goals

78%Over
  • Over78
  • Under22

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

67%Yes
  • Yes67
  • No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Silver Sands ↓

Brittons Hill →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–15%
0–27%
0–37%
0–45%
1
1–02%
1–16%
1–28%
1–38%
1–46%
2
2–01%
2–14%
2–25%
2–35%
2–44%
3
3–01%
3–11%
3–22%
3–32%
3–42%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–2 (8%) · grid covers 84% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
92%8%2.5
78%22%3.5
59%41%4.5
39%61%

Double chance

Silver Sands or draw
29%
Silver Sands or Brittons Hill
85%
Draw or Brittons Hill
86%

Winning margin

Silver Sands wins by 2+
5%
Brittons Hill wins by 2+
51%

Team goals

Silver Sands 1+ goals
71%
Silver Sands 2+ goals
36%
Silver Sands 3+ goals
13%
Brittons Hill 1+ goals
95%
Brittons Hill 2+ goals
79%
Brittons Hill 3+ goals
55%

Draw no bet

Silver Sands (draw refunded)
16%
Brittons Hill (draw refunded)
84%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
62%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Silver Sands at home — creates 0.74, concedes 3.87 · 23 matches

Brittons Hill away — creates 2.02, concedes 1.75 · 40 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Silver Sands attack 0.74 + Brittons Hill defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 1.25

Brittons Hill attack 2.02 + Silver Sands defence 3.87 → ÷2 → 2.95

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 71%?"

Silver Sands scores more
14%
level
15%
Brittons Hill scores more
71%

Brittons Hill at 71% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 71% does not mean "Brittons Hill will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Silver Sands vs Brittons Hill — Match Preview

Silver Sands face Brittons Hill on June 29, 2020 in this Premier League fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Silver Sands host Brittons Hill at Wildey Turf.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.