Brittons Hill 6–0 Silver Sands: Result & Stats

Brittons Hill

FT

6 – 0

Silver Sands

2/7/2025

Premier League · Round 2Friendship Playing Fields

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 23+ matches

Brittons Hill75%

×Draw15%

Silver Sands11%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Brittons HillExpected goals in this matchSilver Sands

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.80

0.98

Brittons Hill

2.80

Silver Sands

0.98

Brittons Hill creates 186% more chances

Season form · 48 home / 23 away

2.13

creates per match

0.83

1.13

allows per match

3.48

creates per match

Brittons Hill

2.13

Silver Sands

0.83

allows per match

Brittons Hill

1.13

Silver Sands

3.48

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Brittons Hill+0.00on par

Silver Sands+0.00on par

Total goals

Over72
Under28

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes59
No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Brittons Hill ↓

Silver Sands →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–02%

0–12%

0–21%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–07%

1–16%

1–23%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–09%

3–18%

3–24%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–06%

4–16%

4–23%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (9%) · grid covers 87% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

89%11%2.5

72%28%3.5

51%49%4.5

31%69%

Double chance

Brittons Hill or draw

89%

Brittons Hill or Silver Sands

85%

Draw or Silver Sands

25%

Winning margin

Brittons Hill wins by 2+

54%

Silver Sands wins by 2+

3%

Team goals

Brittons Hill 1+ goals

94%

Brittons Hill 2+ goals

76%

Brittons Hill 3+ goals

52%

Silver Sands 1+ goals

62%

Silver Sands 2+ goals

26%

Silver Sands 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

Brittons Hill (draw refunded)

87%

Silver Sands (draw refunded)

13%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

52%

Both score & under 3

6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Brittons Hill at home — creates 2.13, concedes 1.13 · 48 matches

Silver Sands away — creates 0.83, concedes 3.48 · 23 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Brittons Hill attack 2.13 + Silver Sands defence 3.48 → ÷2 → 2.80

Silver Sands attack 0.83 + Brittons Hill defence 1.13 → ÷2 → 0.98

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 75%?"

Brittons Hill scores more

75%

level

15%

Silver Sands scores more

11%

Brittons Hill at 75% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 75% does not mean "Brittons Hill will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff